Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Acassuso vs Defensores de Belgrano

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional La Quema Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Roberts D.
60'
Vaquer N.
61'
Dubini K.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Acassuso and Defensores de Belgrano finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Acassuso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Acassuso
39%
Draws
31%
Defensores de Belgrano
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Acassuso haven't matched Defensores de Belgrano's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 68%
Defensores de Belgrano Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Acassuso Defensores de Belgrano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primera Nacional
Acassuso vs Defensores de Belgrano
1:0
Feb 8, 2018 Primera B
Acassuso vs Defensores de Belgrano
0:0
Sep 13, 2017 Primera B
Defensores de Belgrano vs Acassuso
2:1
Jun 4, 2017 Primera B
Acassuso vs Defensores de Belgrano
0:0
Nov 19, 2016 Primera B
Defensores de Belgrano vs Acassuso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Acassuso Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Defensores de Belgrano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Acassuso 41 / 100
Defensores de Belgrano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Acassuso Defensores de Belgrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Defensores de Belgrano conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Defensores de Belgrano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Acassuso scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Acassuso VS Defensores de Belgrano
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419