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Accrington vs Bury FC

World World

Club Friendly
Tue, Jul 28, 2026
1 - 0
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Caton C.

AI Match Summary

Accrington host Bury FC in the Club Friendly. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Bury FC have shipped 0.33 goals a game lately, while Accrington have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.5. Head-to-head, Accrington have won 1 to Bury FC's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 28, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.42 - 1.75) back Bury FC to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Accrington
28%
Draws
22%
Bury FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Accrington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Bury FC have won more games recently than Accrington.
  • Win probability leans Accrington's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Accrington Clean Sheet 12%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Accrington Bury FC
Matches Played 28 19
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 1
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Accrington vs Bury FC
1:0
Feb 8, 2020 League One
Bury FC vs Accrington
0:0
Aug 10, 2019 League One
Accrington vs Bury FC
0:0
Jan 8, 2019 EFL Trophy
Accrington vs Bury FC
2:4
Sep 1, 2015 EFL Trophy
Accrington vs Bury FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Accrington Compare

Top Goalscorer Caton C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Bury FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Accrington 47 / 100
Bury FC 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Accrington Bury FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bury FC conceded in 74% of 19 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Accrington remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Accrington scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Accrington VS Bury FC
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Accrington

(Home)
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3
Accrington
17 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0
Bradford City
11 Jul
Accrington
0 : 0
Blackburn
02 May
Oldham
3 : 0
Accrington
25 Apr
Accrington
3 : 3
Crawley Town
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Bury FC

(Away)
21 Jul
Bury FC
4 : 0
Wigan U21
11 Jul
Chorley
1 : 2
Bury FC
04 Oct
Runcorn Linnets
7 : 0
Bury FC
16 Sept
Wythenshawe Town
1 : 2
Bury FC
26 Jul
Radcliffe
3 : 2
Bury FC
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