Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Accrington vs Crawley Town

England England

League Two 2025/2026 The Wham Stadium, Accrington
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Woods J.
Assist: Whalley S.
37' Event
Forster H.
Assist: Watson L.
49' Event
Sinclair I.

AI Match Summary

The League Two 2025/2026 game between Accrington and Crawley Town finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Accrington
20%
Draws
38%
Crawley Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Accrington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Accrington come out ahead of Crawley Town on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Accrington's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Accrington Clean Sheet 20%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Accrington Crawley Town
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Accrington vs Crawley Town
3:3
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Crawley Town vs Accrington
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 League Two
Accrington vs Crawley Town
0:1
Nov 11, 2023 League Two
Crawley Town vs Accrington
3:1
Nov 5, 2022 FA Cup
Crawley Town vs Accrington
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Accrington Compare

Top Goalscorer Woods J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sinclair I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Crawley Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Forster H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Richards T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Accrington 42 / 100
Crawley Town 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Accrington Crawley Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Crawley Town has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Accrington went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Accrington scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Accrington VS Crawley Town
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Accrington

(Home)
25 Jul
Chorley
0 : 3
Accrington
17 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0
Bradford City
11 Jul
Accrington
0 : 0
Blackburn
02 May
Oldham
3 : 0
Accrington
25 Apr
Accrington
3 : 3
Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6

Crawley Town

(Away)
25 Jul
Eastleigh
0 : 1
Crawley Town
02 May
Crawley Town
0 : 0
Salford
25 Apr
Accrington
3 : 3
Crawley Town
18 Apr
Crawley Town
0 : 0
Shrewsbury
11 Apr
Bristol Rovers
3 : 1
Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)