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ACR Messina vs Nissa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio San Filippo, Messina
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Terranova P.

AI Match Summary

Nissa in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
ACR Messina
35%
Draws
31%
Nissa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nissa have won more games recently than ACR Messina.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
ACR Messina Clean Sheet 68%
Nissa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ACR Messina Nissa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 17
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 0.77 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.54 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group I
ACR Messina vs Nissa
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs ACR Messina
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ACR Messina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.42
Avg xA / game 0.27

Nissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Terranova P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ACR Messina 42 / 100
Nissa 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ACR Messina Nissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: ACR Messina remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

ACR Messina scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Nissa let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

ACR Messina VS Nissa
0.71 Goals Scored 2.25
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.38
57% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ACR Messina

(Home)
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
ACR Messina
03 May
ACR Messina
1 : 0
Milazzo
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
ACR Messina
19 Apr
Lamezia
1 : 1
ACR Messina
12 Apr
ACR Messina
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
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Nissa

(Away)
20 Sept
Calcio Avola
4 : 2
Nissa
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
06 Sept
Nissa
3 : 1
Lamezia
17 May
Nissa
0 : 0
Reggina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)