Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Nunez F.
Own Goal
68'
68'
Rico A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between AD Ceuta B and CD Utrera finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Utrera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- CD Utrera carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives CD Utrera a 64% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 20%
CD Utrera Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Ceuta B | CD Utrera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs CD Utrera
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs AD Ceuta B
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs AD Ceuta B
4:3
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs CD Utrera
0:0
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs CD Utrera
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Ceuta B Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
CD Utrera Compare
Top Goalscorer Rico A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Ceuta B 20 / 100
CD Utrera 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Ceuta B CD Utrera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Utrera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
AD Ceuta B found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
CD Utrera let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
AD Ceuta B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AD Ceuta B VS CD Utrera
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Ceuta B
(Home) 19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1 AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3 Egabrense
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1 AD Ceuta B
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0 AD Ceuta B
23 May
Dos Hermanas
4 : 2 AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3 Egabrense
17 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2 Dos Hermanas
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2 Castilleja CF
12 Apr
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1 Cordoba B
28 Mar
AD Ceuta B
1 : 0 Conil
Page 1 of 3
CD Utrera
(Away) 20 Sept
Pozoblanco
1 : 2 CD Utrera
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0 Conil
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0 CD Utrera
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2 CD Utrera
03 May
CD Utrera
1 : 0 Sevilla C
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Pozoblanco
1 : 2 CD Utrera
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0 CD Utrera
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2 CD Utrera
26 Apr
Linense
0 : 1 CD Utrera
12 Apr
Pozoblanco
1 : 1 CD Utrera
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 69:25 | 73 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 69:39 | 60 |
| 3 | Atletico Central | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 36:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 43:35 | 53 |
| 5 | AD Ceuta B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 38:38 | 52 |
| 6 | Linense | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 45:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Cadiz B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 50:38 | 52 |
| 8 | Conil | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:44 | 52 |
| 9 | Cordoba B | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44:44 | 44 |
| 10 | CD Utrera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:47 | 44 |
| 11 | Pozoblanco | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:44 | 43 |
| 12 | Chiclana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | San Roque de Lepe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36:43 | 40 |
| 15 | Tomares UD | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Sevilla C | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 34:41 | 38 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:62 | 27 |
| 18 | Coria C.F. | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:59 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
