Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Lachhab Y.
27'
27'
Sub
Redruello Nimo C. In: Gonzalez D.
Out: Redruello Nimo C.
35'
35'
Romero J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
6%
20%
74%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Castellon lately — more wins on the board than AD Ceuta.
- Win probability leans Castellon's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 12%
Castellon Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Ceuta | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Castellon
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 LaLiga2
Castellon vs AD Ceuta
3:3
Feb 11, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Castellon vs AD Ceuta
2:2
Oct 15, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
AD Ceuta vs Castellon
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Ceuta Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Castellon Compare
Top Goalscorer Brignani F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Ceuta 10 / 100
Castellon 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Ceuta Castellon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castellon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
AD Ceuta scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Castellon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Solid form: AD Ceuta remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AD Ceuta VS Castellon
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Ceuta
(Home) 20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1 Valladolid
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1 AD Ceuta
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Celta Vigo B
30 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0 AD Ceuta
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Las Palmas
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
AD Ceuta
1 : 1 Valladolid
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Celta Vigo B
22 Aug
AD Ceuta
0 : 2 Las Palmas
07 Aug
AD Ceuta
2 : 1 Malaga
30 May
AD Ceuta
1 : 0 Albacete
Page 1 of 3
Castellon
(Away) 19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0 Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2 Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0 Albacete
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2 Castellon
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0 Sabadell
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2 Castellon
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2 Castellon
14 Aug
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1 Castellon
07 Aug
Hercules
0 : 1 Castellon
31 Jul
Alaves
3 : 0 Castellon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Santander | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 82 |
| 2 | Dep. A Coruna | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 77 |
| 3 | Almeria | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 73 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 73 |
| 6 | Castellon | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 72 |
| 8 | Eibar | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 67 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | 61 |
| 10 | Gijon | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 61 |
| 11 | AD Ceuta | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | 61 |
| 12 | Albacete | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 59 |
| 13 | FC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | 47 |
| 16 | Leganes | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | 43 |
| 19 | Mirandes | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | 40 |
| 20 | Huesca | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 21 | Leonesa | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | 37 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | 36 |
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
