Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Lachhab Didi Y.
27'
27'
Sub
Redruello Nimo C. In: Gonzalez D.
Out: Redruello Nimo C.
35'
35'
Romero J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: AD Ceuta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Castellon lately — more wins on the board than AD Ceuta.
- Win probability leans AD Ceuta's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
AD Ceuta Clean Sheet 17%
Castellon Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AD Ceuta | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 LaLiga2
AD Ceuta vs Castellon
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 LaLiga2
Castellon vs AD Ceuta
3:3
Feb 11, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Castellon vs AD Ceuta
2:2
Oct 15, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
AD Ceuta vs Castellon
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AD Ceuta Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Castellon Compare
Top Goalscorer Brignani F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AD Ceuta 48 / 100
Castellon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AD Ceuta Castellon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CEU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
AD Ceuta scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Castellon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
Solid form: AD Ceuta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AD Ceuta VS Castellon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AD Ceuta
(Home) 29 Jul
Cadiz
1 : 3 AD Ceuta
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1 AD Ceuta
22 Jul
Torremolinos
1 : 0 AD Ceuta
30 May
AD Ceuta
1 : 0 Albacete
24 May
FC Andorra
0 : 2 AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 6
30 May
AD Ceuta
1 : 0 Albacete
16 May
AD Ceuta
1 : 4 Malaga
09 May
AD Ceuta
1 : 1 Castellon
26 Apr
AD Ceuta
0 : 0 Racing Santander
10 Apr
AD Ceuta
0 : 0 Real Sociedad B
Page 1 of 3
Castellon
(Away) 31 Jul
Alaves
3 : 0 Castellon
29 Jul
Girona
3 : 3 Castellon
25 Jul
Valencia
1 : 2 Castellon
18 Jul
Castellon
2 : 0 Sabadell
09 Jun
Almeria
3 : 2 Castellon
Page 1 of 7
31 Jul
Alaves
3 : 0 Castellon
29 Jul
Girona
3 : 3 Castellon
25 Jul
Valencia
1 : 2 Castellon
09 Jun
Almeria
3 : 2 Castellon
24 May
Huesca
0 : 1 Castellon
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Santander | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 90:61 | 82 |
| 2 | Dep. A Coruna | 42 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 65:44 | 77 |
| 3 | Almeria | 42 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 81:63 | 74 |
| 4 | Malaga | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 75:52 | 73 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 42 | 20 | 13 | 9 | 57:40 | 73 |
| 6 | Castellon | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 70:51 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 48:33 | 72 |
| 8 | Eibar | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 52:40 | 67 |
| 9 | Cordoba | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 57:61 | 61 |
| 10 | Gijon | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 60:54 | 61 |
| 11 | AD Ceuta | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 51:63 | 61 |
| 12 | Albacete | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 56:55 | 59 |
| 13 | FC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 62:54 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 50:56 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 52:61 | 47 |
| 16 | Leganes | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 43:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 42 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 44:57 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 41:61 | 43 |
| 19 | Mirandes | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 47:69 | 40 |
| 20 | Huesca | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 21 | Leonesa | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 39:68 | 37 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 42 | 8 | 12 | 22 | 35:59 | 36 |
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
