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AD Llerenense vs CF Trujillo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Cordero A.
42' Event
Cordero A.
72' Event
Cordero A.

AI Match Summary

AD Llerenense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Llerenense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
AD Llerenense
15%
Draws
17%
CF Trujillo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Llerenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • AD Llerenense have won more games recently than CF Trujillo.
  • Model gives AD Llerenense a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
AD Llerenense Clean Sheet 68%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Llerenense CF Trujillo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.31 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs CF Trujillo
3:0
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs AD Llerenense
0:4
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs AD Llerenense
1:1
Sep 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
AD Llerenense vs CF Trujillo
0:0
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs AD Llerenense
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Llerenense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordero A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

CF Trujillo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Llerenense 95 / 100
CF Trujillo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Llerenense CF Trujillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Llerenense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CF Trujillo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

AD Llerenense found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

AD Llerenense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AD Llerenense VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Llerenense

(Home)
19 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Jaraiz
13 Sept
Villanovense
0 : 1
AD Llerenense
06 Sept
AD Llerenense
1 : 0
Guadiana
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
01 May
Puebla de la Calzada
4 : 1
AD Llerenense
Page 1 of 7

CF Trujillo

(Away)
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4
CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)