Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AD Marco 09 vs SC Vianense

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Municipal de Marco de Canaveses, Marco de Canaveses
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Pacheco F.
28'
Faria G.
40'
Rashid

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 game between AD Marco 09 and SC Vianense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Marco 09.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
AD Marco 09
20%
Draws
35%
SC Vianense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Marco 09

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Vianense come out ahead of AD Marco 09 on wins alone.
  • SC Vianense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 23%
SC Vianense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Marco 09 SC Vianense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga 3
AD Marco 09 vs SC Vianense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AD Marco 09 Compare

Top Goalscorer Semedo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Douglas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

SC Vianense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Marco 09 21 / 100
SC Vianense 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Marco 09 SC Vianense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Vianense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: AD Marco 09 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

AD Marco 09 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

SC Vianense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AD Marco 09 VS SC Vianense
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Marco 09

(Home)
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Maia Lidador
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
Page 1 of 7

SC Vianense

(Away)
20 Sept
Estrela Calheta
1 : 3
SC Vianense
12 Sept
Varzim
1 : 2
SC Vianense
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2
Pacos Ferreira
30 Aug
SC Vianense
8 : 0
Minas de Argozelo
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
2 AD Marco 09 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
3 Varzim 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
4 AD Fafe 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
5 SC Vianense 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
6 Leca 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Trofense 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
10 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Atletico CP 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Oliveirense 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
4 Mafra 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
5 Louletano 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
6 Caldas SC 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
7 Lusitano GC 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Covilha 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
9 Santarem 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
10 Vitoria Sernache 5 0 1 4 3:13 1
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)