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AD Valecambrense vs Varzim Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2006/2007
AD Valecambrense Logo

AD Valecambrense

2 - 4
FT
Varzim Logo

Varzim

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Varzim advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AD Valecambrense
15%
Draws
57%
Varzim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varzim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Varzim come out ahead of AD Valecambrense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Varzim's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Varzim arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Varzim, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AD Valecambrense Clean Sheet 20%
Varzim Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AD Valecambrense Varzim
Matches Played 5 32
Wins 1 15
Draws 0 3
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.2 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2007 Taça de Portugal
AD Valecambrense vs Varzim
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AD Valecambrense 28 / 100
Varzim 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AD Valecambrense Varzim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varzim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AD Valecambrense scored in 80% of their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Varzim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Varzim registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Varzim
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AD Valecambrense

(Home)
28 Aug
AD Valecambrense
2 : 3
Esposende
31 Aug
AD Valecambrense
1 : 2
JS Campinense
18 Nov
Nelas
2 : 0
AD Valecambrense
02 Sept
AD Valecambrense
6 : 1
SC Campomaiorense
07 Jan
AD Valecambrense
2 : 4
Varzim

Varzim

(Away)
19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1
Varzim
12 Sept
Varzim
1 : 2
SC Vianense
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1
Paredes
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1
Trofense
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4
Varzim
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Atletico CP 1
FC Porto 0
Estoril 1
Santa Clara 2
Leixoes 2
Famalicao 1
Vitoria Setubal 1
Academica 2
Sporting CP 3
U. Madeira 1
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Camacha 1
Olhanense 0
Juv. Evora 1
Pinhalnovense 4
Boavista 3
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Maria de Fonte 1
Penalva do Castelo 2
Penafiel 1
Maritimo 0
Vizela 0
Nacional 3
Futebol Clube da Maia 2
Lagoa 0
Oliveirense 0
Aves 1
Louletano 1
SC Espinho 0
Santana 0
Beira Mar 6
Braga -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Olivais e Moscavide -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Pontassolense -
Benfica 5
Oliv. Bairro 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Leiria 2
Sertanense 1
SC Lusitania 0
AD Valecambrense 2
Varzim 4
GD Braganca -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Marco -
Estrela da Amadora 2
Feirense 1
Casa Pia 0
Naval 4
Odivelas FC 1
Santiago FC 0
Covilha 0
Mafra 1
Gondomar 3
UD Rio Maior 0
Paredes 2
BSAD 4
1/16-finals
Atletico CP 1
Santa Clara 0
Leixoes 1
Academica 2
Sporting CP 2
Rio Ave 1
Camacha 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Boavista 3
Penalva do Castelo 1
Penafiel 0
Nacional 1
Futebol Clube da Maia 1
Aves 0
Louletano 2
Beira Mar 4
Braga 5
Portimonense 2
Olivais e Moscavide 1
AD Pontassolense 2
Benfica 2
Leiria 1
Sertanense 1
Varzim 3
GD Braganca 4
FC Marco 2
Estrela da Amadora 0
Naval 1
Odivelas FC 3
Mafra 1
Gondomar 1
BSAD 4
1/8-finals
Atletico CP 0
Academica 1
Sporting CP 6
Pinhalnovense 0
Boavista 2
Nacional 0
Futebol Clube da Maia 0
Beira Mar 2
Braga 2
AD Pontassolense 1
Benfica 1
Varzim 2
GD Braganca 1
Naval 0
Odivelas FC 0
BSAD 1
Quarter-finals
Academica 1
Sporting CP 2
Boavista 0
Beira Mar 2
Braga 2
Varzim 0
GD Braganca 1
BSAD 2
Semi-finals
Sporting CP 2
Beira Mar 1
Braga 1
BSAD 2
Final
Sporting CP 1
BSAD 0