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Adanademirspor vs Manisa FK

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Adekanye B.
16' Event
Saygan K.
Assist: Demirtas E.
46'
Sub
Kahraman O. In: Vargas A.
Out: Kahraman O.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Adanademirspor and Manisa FK finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adanademirspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Adanademirspor
6%
Draws
90%
Manisa FK
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Manisa FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manisa FK come out ahead of Adanademirspor on wins alone.
  • Model gives Manisa FK a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Manisa FK have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Adanademirspor Clean Sheet 10%
Manisa FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adanademirspor Manisa FK
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 1 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 28 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 4.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 1. Lig
Adanademirspor vs Manisa FK
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Adanademirspor
5:0
Jul 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Adanademirspor vs Manisa FK
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adanademirspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Saygan K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Manisa FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Adekanye B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adanademirspor 10 / 100
Manisa FK 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adanademirspor Manisa FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Manisa FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Adanademirspor found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (31 games).

Difficult form: Manisa FK registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adanademirspor VS Manisa FK
0.5 Goals Scored 1
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Adanademirspor

(Home)
01 May
Istanbulspor AS
8 : 1
Adanademirspor
25 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 3
Umraniyespor
19 Apr
Boluspor
6 : 0
Adanademirspor
12 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 6
Igdir FK
07 Apr
Hatayspor
4 : 0
Adanademirspor
Page 1 of 7

Manisa FK

(Away)
01 May
Manisa FK
5 : 0
Sakaryaspor
26 Apr
Keciorengucu
2 : 1
Manisa FK
19 Apr
Manisa FK
1 : 0
Serik Spor
12 Apr
Vanspor FK
0 : 1
Manisa FK
07 Apr
Manisa FK
2 : 0
Pendikspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
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