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Adanademirspor vs Umraniyespor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bolat A.
Assist: Bayar T.
21'
Sub
Celik B. In: Ertugrul D.
Out: Celik B.
22'
Bayar T.

AI Match Summary

Umraniyespor in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Umraniyespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Adanademirspor
6%
Draws
90%
Umraniyespor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Umraniyespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Umraniyespor lately — more wins on the board than Adanademirspor.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Umraniyespor taking it.
  • Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Adanademirspor Clean Sheet 10%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adanademirspor Umraniyespor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 1 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 28 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 4.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 1. Lig
Adanademirspor vs Umraniyespor
1:3
Dec 21, 2025 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Adanademirspor
5:0
Feb 26, 2023 Super Lig
Umraniyespor vs Adanademirspor
1:1
Aug 27, 2022 Super Lig
Adanademirspor vs Umraniyespor
1:0
Feb 23, 2021 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Adanademirspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adanademirspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolat A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Umraniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozdemir T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ertugrul D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adanademirspor 10 / 100
Umraniyespor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adanademirspor Umraniyespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UMR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umraniyespor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Umraniyespor registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Adanademirspor's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Adanademirspor VS Umraniyespor
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
4.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Adanademirspor

(Home)
01 May
Istanbulspor AS
8 : 1
Adanademirspor
25 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 3
Umraniyespor
19 Apr
Boluspor
6 : 0
Adanademirspor
12 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 6
Igdir FK
07 Apr
Hatayspor
4 : 0
Adanademirspor
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Umraniyespor

(Away)
17 Jul
Umraniyespor
1 : 5
Galatasaray
02 May
Umraniyespor
1 : 4
Keciorengucu
25 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 3
Umraniyespor
19 Apr
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Vanspor FK
13 Apr
Amedspor
2 : 2
Umraniyespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
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Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)