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Adanaspor AS vs K. Istklalspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Kilic H.
Assist: Erdogan I.
38' Event
Ruzgar K.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Akarslan M.
Assist: Kaya K.

AI Match Summary

K. Istklalspor in this 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored K. Istklalspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Adanaspor AS
6%
Draws
90%
K. Istklalspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: K. Istklalspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Adanaspor AS haven't matched K. Istklalspor's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans K. Istklalspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Adanaspor AS Clean Sheet 10%
K. Istklalspor Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adanaspor AS K. Istklalspor
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 2 18
Draws 1 5
Losses 26 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Adanaspor AS vs K. Istklalspor
1:7
Sep 28, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
K. Istklalspor vs Adanaspor AS
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adanaspor AS Compare

Top Goalscorer Isik E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

K. Istklalspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruzgar K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Turkmen M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adanaspor AS 10 / 100
K. Istklalspor 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adanaspor AS K. Istklalspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick K. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Adanaspor AS found the back of the net in 24% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: K. Istklalspor conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Adanaspor AS went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Adanaspor AS VS K. Istklalspor
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Adanaspor AS

(Home)
25 Apr
Musspor
6 : 0
Adanaspor AS
18 Apr
Adanaspor AS
0 : 1
Arnavutkoy Bl.
04 Apr
Adanaspor AS
0 : 3
Trabzon FK
29 Mar
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Adanaspor AS
25 Mar
Adanaspor AS
1 : 8
Aliaga
Page 1 of 6

K. Istklalspor

(Away)
04 May
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
K. Istklalspor
30 Apr
K. Istklalspor
0 : 0
Mardin 1969
25 Apr
Soma Spor
2 : 3
K. Istklalspor
19 Apr
K. Istklalspor
2 : 0
Ankara Demirspor
12 Apr
Mardin 1969
2 : 1
K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)