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Adelaide City vs FK Beograd

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Adelaide City Park
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Costanzo D.
21' Event
Boselli L.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Bressan D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL South Australia matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Adelaide City
17%
Draws
13%
FK Beograd
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Adelaide City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Adelaide City lately — more wins on the board than FK Beograd.
  • Model gives Adelaide City a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Adelaide City Clean Sheet 19%
FK Beograd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adelaide City FK Beograd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs FK Beograd
2:2
May 30, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs FK Beograd
2:4
Feb 23, 2025 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide City
0:2
Jun 15, 2024 NPL South Australia
FK Beograd vs Adelaide City
0:1
Mar 22, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs FK Beograd
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Adelaide City Compare

Top Goalscorer Costanzo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bressan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FK Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Boselli L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adelaide City 67 / 100
FK Beograd 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adelaide City FK Beograd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Adelaide City scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

FK Beograd has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Adelaide City VS FK Beograd
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MetroStars18114348:1937
2West Torrens Birkalla18113445:2636
3Adelaide City18106235:1636
4FK Beograd1893631:2130
5Playford Patriots1885536:2629
6Croydon1884640:3228
7Adelaide Utd U231867524:2425
8Sturt Lions FC18711030:3022
9Campbelltown City1864828:2922
10West Adelaide1847733:3419
11Adelaide Comets18341119:3513
12Para1802169:862