Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

First Division 2008/2009

Spartak Guba

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Adliyya Baku play Spartak Guba in the First Division 2008/2009. Adliyya Baku are favorites here. Recently, Adliyya Baku averaged 0.95 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Spartak Guba averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.83 conceded. In past meetings, Adliyya Baku won 3, Spartak Guba won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 5, 2009 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Adliyya Baku and 1.63 for Spartak Guba. This points to a Adliyya Baku double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Adliyya Baku

16%

Draws

24%

Spartak Guba

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Adliyya Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Adliyya Baku picked up more points recently compared to Spartak Guba.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 77%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Adliyya Baku Clean Sheet 14%

Spartak Guba Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Adliyya Baku	Spartak Guba
Matches Played	40	30
Wins	9	4
Draws	6	3
Losses	25	23
Goals Scored	0.95	0.77
Goals Conceded	2.23	2.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2009 I Liqa

Spartak Guba vs Adliyya Baku

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Feb 15, 2009 I Liqa

Adliyya Baku vs Spartak Guba

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

4:0

Oct 26, 2008 I Liqa

Spartak Guba vs Adliyya Baku

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

3:4

Sep 7, 2008 I Liqa

Adliyya Baku vs Spartak Guba

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adliyya Baku 57 / 100

Spartak Guba 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Adliyya Baku Spartak Guba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adliyya Baku Win (1)

Secondary Pick Adliyya Baku & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.6%

1.41

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Adliyya Baku attacking → ← attacking Spartak Guba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adliyya Baku scored in 50% of their last 40 games.

Spartak Guba let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Adliyya Baku went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Guba lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 15

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00