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Adra vs El Palo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 game between Adra and El Palo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Palo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Adra
15%
Draws
85%
El Palo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: El Palo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and El Palo come out ahead of Adra on wins alone.
  • El Palo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • El Palo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Adra Clean Sheet 20%
El Palo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Adra El Palo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 0 7
Draws 2 6
Losses 28 18
Goals Scored 0.3 0.94
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs El Palo
0:3
Oct 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Adra
0:0
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs El Palo
0:1
Sep 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Adra
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Adra 10 / 100
El Palo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Adra El Palo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick El Palo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Palo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: El Palo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Adra's goal record stands at 23% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS El Palo
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Adra

(Home)
14 May
Ciudad de Vicar
3 : 0
Adra
07 May
Adra
0 : 3
Alhaurin
30 Apr
Motril
3 : 0
Adra
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
16 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Adra
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El Palo

(Away)
10 May
El Palo
0 : 2
Churriana de la Vega
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2
Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1
El Palo
12 Apr
El Palo
0 : 1
Motril
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 36 20 8 8 53:26 68
2 Motril 36 18 12 6 54:24 66
3 El Palo 36 19 6 11 59:44 63
4 Almeria B 36 17 10 9 62:37 61
5 CD Ronda 36 17 9 10 64:51 60
6 Malaga B 36 16 11 9 56:44 59
7 Comarca 36 17 6 13 52:34 57
8 Ciudad de Vicar 36 13 14 9 52:48 53
9 Loja 36 13 10 13 42:40 49
10 Antequera 36 11 14 11 43:38 47
11 Velez 36 14 5 17 50:52 47
12 CD Alhaurino 36 12 9 15 53:54 45
13 Adra 36 12 9 15 47:59 45
14 Santa Fe 36 11 8 17 40:55 41
15 UD Carboneras 36 10 8 18 43:63 38
16 Huetor Tajar 36 11 5 20 44:67 38
17 CD Baza 36 9 10 17 36:54 37
18 Arenas Armilla 36 9 8 19 33:63 35
19 Ejido 2 19 7 3 9 21:22 24
20 Vera CD 19 1 7 11 17:46 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)