Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AEK vs Panetolikos

Greece Greece

Greek Cup 2025/2026 Allwyn Arena, Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Pierrot F.
38'
Sub
Kojic L. In: Bouchalakis A.
Out: Kojic L.
45' Event
Kaloskamis D.

AI Match Summary

AEK in this Greek Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
AEK
22%
Draws
18%
Panetolikos
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AEK lately — more wins on the board than Panetolikos.
  • Model gives AEK a 60% chance of winning this.
  • AEK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AEK, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AEK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
AEK Clean Sheet 68%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEK Panetolikos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Super League
Panetolikos vs AEK
0:5
Nov 2, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Panetolikos
1:0
Sep 24, 2025 Greek Cup
AEK vs Panetolikos
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Panetolikos
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Super League
Panetolikos vs AEK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierrot F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaloskamis D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Panetolikos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEK 68 / 100
Panetolikos 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEK Panetolikos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEK scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Panetolikos conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

AEK has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AEK VS Panetolikos
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AEK

(Home)
29 Jul
AEK
1 : 2
Samsunspor
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3
AEK
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0
AEK
12 Jul
De Graafschap
1 : 2
AEK
Page 1 of 7

Panetolikos

(Away)
16 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Panetolikos
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1
Panetolikos
12 May
Panetolikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
09 May
Atromitos
1 : 2
Panetolikos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olympiacos Piraeus440018:312
2Levadiakos440010:312
3AEK44006:112
4Panathinaikos44006:212
5Aris43106:210
6OFI Crete43017:39
7Volos421110:77
8PAOK421110:77
9Atromitos42117:57
10Kifisia41214:45
11Asteras Tripolis41127:44
12Panetolikos41125:44
13Iraklis FC41122:94
14Athens Kallithea41033:53
15Ellas Syrou41038:133
16AEL Larissa40134:91
17Kavala40133:81
18Marko40134:101
19Ilioupoli40041:100
20PAE Egaleo40041:130
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)