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AEL Larissa vs Kifisia

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 AEL FC Arena, Larissa
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Pombo J.
(Penalty)
24'
Larouci Y.
31'
Naor G.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between AEL Larissa and Kifisia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
AEL Larissa
20%
Draws
38%
Kifisia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AEL Larissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • AEL Larissa haven't matched Kifisia's recent run of results.
  • AEL Larissa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 20%
Kifisia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AEL Larissa Kifisia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 6
Draws 11 13
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Super League
Kifisia vs AEL Larissa
3:2
Apr 22, 2026 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Kifisia
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Super League
Kifisia vs AEL Larissa
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Kifisia
1:1
May 11, 2025 Super League 2
AEL Larissa vs Kifisia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AEL Larissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kifisia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AEL Larissa 42 / 100
Kifisia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AEL Larissa Kifisia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AEL Larissa found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Kifisia let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: AEL Larissa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AEL Larissa VS Kifisia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AEL Larissa

(Home)
21 May
Kifisia
3 : 2
AEL Larissa
16 May
AEL Larissa
2 : 1
Atromitos
12 May
Panetolikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
09 May
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
02 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
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Kifisia

(Away)
29 Jul
Westerlo
1 : 1
Kifisia
25 Jul
De Graafschap
4 : 2
Kifisia
22 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
1 : 1
Kifisia
21 May
Kifisia
3 : 2
AEL Larissa
16 May
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Kifisia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
9Atromitos3612101449:4246
10Kifisia369141340:5141
11Asteras Tripolis368121636:4936
12Panetolikos36991835:5136
13AEL Larissa365151634:5630
14Panserraikos36782125:7329
Relegation - Super League 2 2026/2027 (Main)