Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aerostar vs CSM Vaslui

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup
Wed, Jul 29, 2026
3 - 1
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Aerostar
15%
Draws
21%
CSM Vaslui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aerostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / Very High Confidence
  • Aerostar average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of CSM Vaslui's 1.25.
  • Aerostar are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Aerostar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aerostar Clean Sheet 10%
CSM Vaslui Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aerostar CSM Vaslui
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 3 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Romanian Cup
Aerostar vs CSM Vaslui
3:1
May 1, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs CSM Vaslui
3:0
Mar 7, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Vaslui vs Aerostar
1:0
Oct 10, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs CSM Vaslui
1:1
May 11, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Vaslui vs Aerostar
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aerostar 65 / 100
CSM Vaslui 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aerostar CSM Vaslui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aerostar found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: CSM Vaslui conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Aerostar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aerostar VS CSM Vaslui
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aerostar

(Home)
29 Jul
Aerostar
3 : 1
CSM Vaslui
16 May
Aerostar
2 : 1
Bucovina Radauti
08 May
Odorheiu
6 : 2
Aerostar
01 May
Aerostar
3 : 0
CSM Vaslui
25 Apr
Adjud
2 : 3
Aerostar
Page 1 of 6

CSM Vaslui

(Away)
29 Jul
Aerostar
3 : 1
CSM Vaslui
16 May
Adjud
1 : 0
CSM Vaslui
09 May
CSM Vaslui
1 : 0
VSK Gyergyo
01 May
Aerostar
3 : 0
CSM Vaslui
25 Apr
CSM Vaslui
2 : 2
ACS USV Iasi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Univ. Alba Iulia 3
Blaj 4
Inter Sibiu 0
ACS Medias 2
Unirea Dej 1
Viitorul Cluj 2
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SCM Zalau -
Timisul Sag 1
Progresul Pecica 0
Unirea Santana 4
Viitorul Arad 0
Bolintin Vale 3
Adunatii-Copaceni 2
Progresul Spartac 2
Progresul Fundulea 0
Dunarea Giurgiu 3
CSM Alexandria 0
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Cetatea Turnu Magurele -
Progresul Mogosoaia 3
LPS HD Clinceni 0
Urban Titu 1
AS Vointa Crevedia 3
Gloria Baneasa 1
Calarasi 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja 0
Inainte Modelu 6
Petrolul Berca 5
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte 2
CSO Plopeni 1
Baicoi 2
Bradul Putna 9
Bucovina Radauti 0
ACS USV Iasi 1
Stiinta Miroslava 0
Victoria Traian 0
Unirea Branistea 7
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Sporting Liesti -
FC Pucioasa 1
Tricolorul Breaza 0
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Flacara Moreni -
CSM Corona Brasov 2
ARO Campulung 1
CSM Sacele 3
Kids Tampa Brasov 2
Chiesd 1
Sighetu Marmatiei 4
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Baia Mare -
VSK Gyergyo 1
Odorheiu 0
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Ceahlaul -
CS Domnesti 3
Unirea Bascov 2
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Olimpic Zarnesti -
Sanatatea Cluj -
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Unirea Alba-Iulia -
Agigea 2
Axiopolis Cernavoda 3
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Agricola Borcea -
FC U Craiova 0
CSO Filiasi 5
Curtisoara 1
Academica Bals 0
CSM Ramnicu Sarat 0
Adjud 3
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Targu Secuiesc -
Aerostar 3
CSM Vaslui 1
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Viitorul Onesti -
Paulesti 6
Blejoi 2
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Tunari -
Hidro Mecanica Sugag 0
Metalurgistul Cugir 10
ACS Unirea DMO 0
Jiul Petrosani 4
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 1
Pausesti-Otasau 2
CSM Targu Jiu 3
Farcasesti 2
Bihorul Beius 0
Baile Felix 1
Crisul Santandrei 2
Unirea Tasnad 1
Caransebes 2
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 1
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Quarter-finals
Blaj 2
ACS Medias 1
Viitorul Cluj 1
SCM Zalau 6
Timisul Sag 3
Unirea Santana 2
Bolintin Vale 1
Progresul Spartac 3
Dunarea Giurgiu 2
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 1
Progresul Mogosoaia 3
AS Vointa Crevedia 0
Calarasi 2
Inainte Modelu 0
Petrolul Berca 2
Baicoi 3
Bradul Putna 1
ACS USV Iasi 2
Unirea Branistea 2
Sporting Liesti 4
FC Pucioasa 0
Flacara Moreni 7
CSM Corona Brasov 3
CSM Sacele 0
Sighetu Marmatiei 1
Baia Mare 3
VSK Gyergyo 5
Ceahlaul 0
CS Domnesti 2
Olimpic Zarnesti 7
Sanatatea Cluj 3
Unirea Alba-Iulia 2
Axiopolis Cernavoda 1
Agricola Borcea 3
CSO Filiasi 2
Curtisoara 3
Adjud 2
Targu Secuiesc 1
Aerostar 0
Viitorul Onesti 1
Paulesti 0
Tunari 3
Metalurgistul Cugir 0
Jiul Petrosani 1
Pausesti-Otasau 0
CSM Targu Jiu 2
Baile Felix 0
Crisul Santandrei 1
Caransebes 0
Minerul Lupeni 1
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