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AF Luftetari vs Burreli

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Zani K.
87' Event
Zani K.

AI Match Summary

AF Luftetari in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AF Luftetari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AF Luftetari
30%
Draws
23%
Burreli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AF Luftetari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AF Luftetari average 1.1 goals a game right now, well clear of Burreli's 0.97.
  • Model gives AF Luftetari a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
AF Luftetari Clean Sheet 68%
Burreli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Luftetari Burreli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Burreli
2:0
Dec 3, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs AF Luftetari
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Burreli
0:0
Mar 22, 2014 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs AF Luftetari
1:0
Oct 19, 2013 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Burreli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AF Luftetari Compare

Top Goalscorer Zani K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Burreli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Luftetari 86 / 100
Burreli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Luftetari Burreli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AF Luftetari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AF Luftetari scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Burreli has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

AF Luftetari went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AF Luftetari VS Burreli
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AF Luftetari

(Home)
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
03 May
AF Luftetari
3 : 0
Pogradeci
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
19 Apr
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
Burreli
11 Apr
Iliria Kruja
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
Page 1 of 6

Burreli

(Away)
16 Sept
Burreli
1 : 3
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Burreli
2 : 2
Kastrioti
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)