Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlstad

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Tunavallen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Eskilstuna play Karlstad in the Division 1 - Norra. It looks like a close match. Recently, AFC Eskilstuna averaged 2 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. Karlstad averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, AFC Eskilstuna won 3, Karlstad won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for AFC Eskilstuna and 1.50 for Karlstad. This points to a AFC Eskilstuna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
AFC Eskilstuna
15%
Draws
40%
Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Eskilstuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Eskilstuna picked up more points recently compared to Karlstad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
AFC Eskilstuna Clean Sheet 16%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Eskilstuna Karlstad
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlstad
0:2
Mar 13, 2026 Club Friendly
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlstad
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Karlstad
4:3
Jun 22, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Eskilstuna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguel W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Eskilstuna 44 / 100
Karlstad 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Eskilstuna Karlstad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AFC Eskilstuna or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AFC Eskilstuna attacking → ← attacking Karlstad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Eskilstuna scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Karlstad let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

AFC Eskilstuna went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Karlstad lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 50
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2Karlstad1493222:930
3FC Arlanda1485123:1029
4FC Stockholm Internazionale1483328:1427
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1473423:2024
7AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
8Karlbergs1453623:2318
9Umea FC1444620:2416
10FC Jarfalla1443721:2715
11Vasalund1443720:3015
12Assyriska FF1435622:2914
13Gefle1442817:2914
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea1423916:329
16IFK Stocksund1415828:368