Sport Picks
AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth
England
League One 2025/2026 The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London 
Match Events
6'
6'
Mitchell A.
Assist: Boateng M.
24'
24'
Tolaj L.
24'
24'
Johnson R.
AI Match Summary
The League One 2025/2026 game between AFC Wimbledon and Plymouth finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plymouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plymouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- AFC Wimbledon haven't matched Plymouth's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Plymouth have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 12%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 League One
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
1:2
Dec 21, 2022 EFL Trophy
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
4:3
Mar 8, 2022 League One
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
2:0
Sep 18, 2021 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Wimbledon Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Plymouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Mitchell A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tolaj L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC Wimbledon 35 / 100
Plymouth 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Wimbledon Plymouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Plymouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Plymouth has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: AFC Wimbledon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
AFC Wimbledon found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
AFC Wimbledon VS Plymouth
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC Wimbledon
(Home) 17 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Doncaster
07 Sept
Bromley
0 : 2 AFC Wimbledon
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
30 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Wigan
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
12 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Doncaster
30 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 0 Wigan
22 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Reading
08 Aug
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 1 Newport
Page 1 of 4
Plymouth
(Away) 19 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 4 Plymouth
12 Sept
Plymouth
3 : 0 Barnsley
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
01 Sept
Leicester
2 : 0 Plymouth
29 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 0 Bradford City
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 4 Plymouth
05 Sept
Doncaster
2 : 3 Plymouth
01 Sept
Leicester
2 : 0 Plymouth
22 Aug
Wycombe
1 : 1 Plymouth
04 Aug
Tavistock
1 : 4 Plymouth
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
