Sport Picks
AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth
England
League One 2025/2026 The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London 
Match Events
6'
6'
Mitchell A.
Assist: Boateng M.
24'
24'
Tolaj L.
24'
24'
Johnson R.
AI Match Summary
The League One 2025/2026 game between AFC Wimbledon and Plymouth finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plymouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Plymouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- AFC Wimbledon haven't matched Plymouth's recent run of results.
- Model gives Plymouth a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Plymouth have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 10%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC Wimbledon | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 League One
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
1:2
Dec 21, 2022 EFL Trophy
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
4:3
Mar 8, 2022 League One
Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon
2:0
Sep 18, 2021 League One
AFC Wimbledon vs Plymouth
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Wimbledon Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Plymouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Mitchell A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tolaj L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC Wimbledon 10 / 100
Plymouth 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Wimbledon Plymouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PLY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: AFC Wimbledon scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Plymouth conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: AFC Wimbledon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AFC Wimbledon VS Plymouth
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC Wimbledon
(Home) 28 Jul
Wealdstone
1 : 0 AFC Wimbledon
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 Charlton
22 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Norwich
18 Jul
Sutton
1 : 2 AFC Wimbledon
02 May
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 4 Huddersfield
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 Charlton
22 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Norwich
02 May
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 4 Huddersfield
18 Apr
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 3 Plymouth
15 Apr
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 2 Stockport County
Page 1 of 4
Plymouth
(Away) 25 Jul
Truro
0 : 1 Plymouth
21 Jul
Torquay
0 : 1 Plymouth
18 Jul
Bath City
0 : 3 Plymouth
11 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 4 Plymouth
02 May
Northampton
2 : 3 Plymouth
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Truro
0 : 1 Plymouth
21 Jul
Torquay
0 : 1 Plymouth
18 Jul
Bath City
0 : 3 Plymouth
11 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 4 Plymouth
02 May
Northampton
2 : 3 Plymouth
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
