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Afogadense vs Ferroviario do Cabo

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2012 game between Afogadense and Ferroviario do Cabo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afogadense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Afogadense
6%
Draws
4%
Ferroviario do Cabo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afogadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Afogadense come out ahead of Ferroviario do Cabo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Afogadense a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Afogadense Clean Sheet 19%
Ferroviario do Cabo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogadense Ferroviario do Cabo
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Afogadense
0:2
Jul 29, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Afogadense vs Ferroviario do Cabo
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogadense 85 / 100
Ferroviario do Cabo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogadense Ferroviario do Cabo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Afogadense scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Ferroviario do Cabo let in goals in 83% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Afogadense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviario do Cabo
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afogadense

(Home)
10 Oct
Cabense
3 : 0
Afogadense
03 Oct
Afogadense
5 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
30 Sept
Olinda FC
5 : 1
Afogadense
26 Sept
Afogadense
2 : 0
Pesqueira
23 Sept
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 2
Afogadense
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Ferroviario do Cabo

(Away)
11 Nov
Flamengo Arcoverde
7 : 1
Ferroviario do Cabo
05 Nov
Ferroviario do Cabo
2 : 2
1º de Maio
01 Nov
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 3
Decisao
28 Oct
Ibis Sport Club
5 : 1
Ferroviario do Cabo
25 Oct
Atletico PE
2 : 2
Ferroviario do Cabo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cha Grande28187364:2761
2Cabense28177452:1758
3Pesqueira28182850:2956
4Olinda FC28178362:2856
5Academica Vitoria28148653:3650
6Carpina SC28145939:2947
7Afogadense28129748:4245
8Timbauba FC28127935:2643
9Ipojuca28971241:4034
10Jaguar285101340:5325
11Sete de Setembro (PE)285101328:5025
12Centro Limoeirense28631930:6421
13Ibis Sport Club28491531:6421
14Ferroviario do Cabo28461830:6118
15Atletico PE28281822:5914
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)