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Afogadense vs Ferroviario do Cabo Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2012 game between Afogadense and Ferroviario do Cabo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afogadense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Afogadense
20%
Draws
15%
Ferroviario do Cabo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afogadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Afogadense come out ahead of Ferroviario do Cabo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Afogadense a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Afogadense Clean Sheet 19%
Ferroviario do Cabo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogadense Ferroviario do Cabo
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.71 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Afogadense
0:2
Jul 29, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Afogadense vs Ferroviario do Cabo
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogadense 85 / 100
Ferroviario do Cabo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogadense Ferroviario do Cabo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afogadense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Afogadense scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Ferroviario do Cabo let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Afogadense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviario do Cabo
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afogadense

(Home)
10 Oct
Cabense
3 : 0
Afogadense
03 Oct
Afogadense
5 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
30 Sept
Olinda FC
5 : 1
Afogadense
26 Sept
Afogadense
2 : 0
Pesqueira
23 Sept
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 2
Afogadense
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Ferroviario do Cabo

(Away)
11 Nov
Flamengo Arcoverde
7 : 1
Ferroviario do Cabo
05 Nov
Ferroviario do Cabo
2 : 2
1º de Maio
01 Nov
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 3
Decisao
28 Oct
Ibis Sport Club
5 : 1
Ferroviario do Cabo
25 Oct
Atletico PE
2 : 2
Ferroviario do Cabo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cha Grande 28 18 7 3 64:27 61
2 Cabense 28 17 7 4 52:17 58
3 Pesqueira 28 18 2 8 50:29 56
4 Olinda FC 28 17 8 3 62:28 56
5 Academica Vitoria 28 14 8 6 53:36 50
6 Carpina SC 28 14 5 9 39:29 47
7 Afogadense 28 12 9 7 48:42 45
8 Timbauba FC 28 12 7 9 35:26 43
9 Ipojuca 28 9 7 12 41:40 34
10 Jaguar 28 5 10 13 40:53 25
11 Sete de Setembro (PE) 28 5 10 13 28:50 25
12 Centro Limoeirense 28 6 3 19 30:64 21
13 Ibis Sport Club 28 4 9 15 31:64 21
14 Ferroviario do Cabo 28 4 6 18 30:61 18
15 Atletico PE 28 2 8 18 22:59 14
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)