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Afogados da Ingazeira vs Atletico Torres

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2023 game between Afogados da Ingazeira and Atletico Torres finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afogados da Ingazeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Afogados da Ingazeira
30%
Draws
34%
Atletico Torres
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Afogados da Ingazeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Afogados da Ingazeira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Afogados da Ingazeira's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 13%
Atletico Torres Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogados da Ingazeira Atletico Torres
Matches Played 35 19
Wins 15 8
Draws 10 2
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Atletico Torres
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogados da Ingazeira 35 / 100
Atletico Torres 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogados da Ingazeira Atletico Torres

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogados da Ingazeira's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Atletico Torres let in goals in 68% of their last 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Afogados da Ingazeira remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Afogados da Ingazeira VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375