Sport Picks

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Afogados da Ingazeira vs Sport Recife

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2025 Estadio Valdemar Viana de Araujo, Afogados da Ingazeira
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Claudio In: Dieguinho
Out: Claudio
64' Event
Rodrigo
65'
Sub
Maycon Rangel In: Vitinho
Out: Maycon Rangel

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2025 game between Afogados da Ingazeira and Sport Recife finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Afogados da Ingazeira
44%
Draws
20%
Sport Recife
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Recife carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 20%
Sport Recife Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogados da Ingazeira Sport Recife
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Pernambucano
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Sport Recife
1:1
Jan 29, 2024 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Afogados da Ingazeira
2:0
Feb 1, 2023 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Afogados da Ingazeira
4:1
Feb 13, 2022 Pernambucano
Sport Recife vs Afogados da Ingazeira
1:1
Apr 7, 2021 Pernambucano
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Sport Recife
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afogados da Ingazeira Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sport Recife Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogados da Ingazeira 36 / 100
Sport Recife 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogados da Ingazeira Sport Recife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogados da Ingazeira found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Sport Recife conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Afogados da Ingazeira remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sport Recife
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Afogados da Ingazeira

(Home)
22 Feb
Jaguar
1 : 0
Afogados da Ingazeira
15 Feb
Afogados da Ingazeira
1 : 1
Maguary
09 Feb
Nautico
4 : 0
Afogados da Ingazeira
05 Feb
Decisao
1 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
29 Jan
Afogados da Ingazeira
1 : 1
Central SC
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Sport Recife

(Away)
22 Jul
Goias
1 : 1
Sport Recife
18 Jul
Sport Recife
2 : 2
Operario-PR
10 Jul
Sport Recife
3 : 3
Botafogo SP
04 Jul
Criciuma
1 : 0
Sport Recife
28 Jun
Fortaleza
2 : 1
Sport Recife
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Cruz962114:420
2Maguary952213:1017
3Nautico951315:916
4Sport Recife943217:815
5Decisao934211:1213
6Retro93338:1012
7Jaguar932410:1611
8Central SC92348:99
9Afogados da Ingazeira90545:135
10Petrolina90364:143
Promotion - Pernambucano 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pernambucano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Pernambucano (Main)