Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group H

Afragolese

2 - 1

Fidelis Andria

Our Tip

Match Events

47'

Giorgione C.

88'

Longo F.

90'

Montaperto G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Afragolese in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afragolese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Afragolese

Draws

90%

Fidelis Andria

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fidelis Andria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Fidelis Andria haven't matched Afragolese's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Fidelis Andria taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Afragolese Clean Sheet 18%

Fidelis Andria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Afragolese	Fidelis Andria
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	11
Draws	9	7
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H

Afragolese vs Fidelis Andria

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H

Fidelis Andria vs Afragolese

Possession: 40% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afragolese Compare

Top Goalscorer Longo F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Montaperto G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Fidelis Andria Compare

Top Goalscorer Giorgione C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afragolese 10 / 100

Fidelis Andria 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Afragolese Fidelis Andria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FID Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Afragolese scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Afragolese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Fidelis Andria has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Afragolese VS Fidelis Andria

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barletta	34	20	10	4	54:20	70
2	Martina Calcio	34	18	8	8	47:30	62
3	Citta di Fasano	34	18	8	8	51:35	62
4	Paganese	34	17	7	10	36:32	58
5	A.C.D. Nardo	34	14	13	7	40:27	55
6	Gravina	34	16	7	11	50:40	55
7	Afragolese	34	13	10	11	45:46	49
8	Fidelis Andria	34	13	9	12	35:28	48
9	Virtus Francavilla	34	12	12	10	45:40	48
10	Real Normanna	34	10	13	11	27:26	43
11	Francavilla	34	11	10	13	39:38	43
12	Manfredonia	34	11	10	13	34:39	43
13	Sarnese	34	9	14	11	51:49	41
14	SS Nola 1925	34	11	8	15	42:50	41
15	Heraclea	34	10	8	16	31:39	38
16	Pompei	34	9	7	18	26:38	34
17	Ferrandina	34	7	9	18	21:43	30
18	Acerrana	34	3	5	26	20:74	14