Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aglianese Calcio vs Victor San Marino

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sabba E.
(Penalty)
28' Event
D'Ancona E.
50' Event
D'Este N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between Aglianese Calcio and Victor San Marino finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Victor San Marino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Aglianese Calcio
39%
Draws
30%
Victor San Marino
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Victor San Marino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Aglianese Calcio Clean Sheet 19%
Victor San Marino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aglianese Calcio Victor San Marino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Aglianese Calcio vs Victor San Marino
2:3
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Victor San Marino vs Aglianese Calcio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aglianese Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Ancona E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Della Pietra V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Victor San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Este N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sabba E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aglianese Calcio 32 / 100
Victor San Marino 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aglianese Calcio Victor San Marino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Aglianese Calcio scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Victor San Marino conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Aglianese Calcio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aglianese Calcio VS Victor San Marino
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aglianese Calcio

(Home)
05 May
Aglianese Calcio
0 : 4
Forli FC
28 Apr
Certaldo
3 : 2
Aglianese Calcio
21 Apr
Aglianese Calcio
0 : 1
SCD Progresso
14 Apr
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Aglianese Calcio
07 Apr
Aglianese Calcio
3 : 0
Sammaurese
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Victor San Marino

(Away)
12 May
Corticella
2 : 1
Victor San Marino
05 May
Victor San Marino
3 : 2
San Donnino
28 Apr
Prato
0 : 2
Victor San Marino
21 Apr
Victor San Marino
1 : 0
Imolese
14 Apr
Forli FC
3 : 0
Victor San Marino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carpi32215666:3168
2Ravenna32199456:1366
3Corticella321831159:4057
4Victor San Marino32176944:3757
5Lentigione32168849:3156
6Forli FC32167948:3555
7Prato321281237:4144
8Sangiuliano City321281232:3744
9Fanfulla3211101128:3543
10Sant'Angelo321181347:4441
11Aglianese Calcio321181332:3941
12Imolese321261431:3340
13Sammaurese321141737:4837
14SCD Progresso321141727:4337
15San Donnino325101732:5825
16Certaldo32662022:5524
17Mezzolara32562123:5021
18Pistoiese00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)