Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Hapoel Bnei Lod

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Kodman A.
86' Event
90' Event
Elimelech O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Agudat Sport Ashdod in this Liga Alef South 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agudat Sport Ashdod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Agudat Sport Ashdod
11%
Draws
80%
Hapoel Bnei Lod
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Hapoel Bnei Lod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Agudat Sport Ashdod have won more games recently than Hapoel Bnei Lod.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Bnei Lod taking it.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Agudat Sport Ashdod have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Agudat Sport Ashdod Clean Sheet 24%
Hapoel Bnei Lod Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agudat Sport Ashdod Hapoel Bnei Lod
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2025 Liga Alef South
Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Hapoel Bnei Lod
3:0
Oct 15, 2024 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
1:2
Apr 9, 2024 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
0:1
Jan 19, 2024 Liga Alef South
Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Hapoel Bnei Lod
2:0
Mar 13, 2021 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Bnei Lod vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agudat Sport Ashdod Compare

Top Goalscorer Kodman A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hapoel Bnei Lod Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agudat Sport Ashdod 13 / 100
Hapoel Bnei Lod 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agudat Sport Ashdod Hapoel Bnei Lod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Bnei Lod's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Agudat Sport Ashdod found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Agudat Sport Ashdod stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Agudat Sport Ashdod VS Hapoel Bnei Lod
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Agudat Sport Ashdod

(Home)
25 Apr
Agudat Sport Ashdod
2 : 3
Ironi Modiin
22 Apr
Maccabi Yavne
2 : 1
Agudat Sport Ashdod
08 Apr
Agudat Sport Ashdod
2 : 0
H. Herzliya
04 Apr
Jerusalem FC
2 : 0
Agudat Sport Ashdod
21 Mar
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
2 : 1
Agudat Sport Ashdod
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Bnei Lod

(Away)
25 Apr
Hapoel Bnei Lod
4 : 1
Maccabi Shaarayim
08 Apr
Hapoel Bnei Lod
2 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
04 Apr
Hapoel Azor
1 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Lod
27 Mar
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 1
Hapoel Bnei Lod
20 Mar
Hapoel Bnei Lod
3 : 2
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ironi Modiin30188445:1962
2Beitar Nordia Jerusalem30175850:3456
3H. Herzliya30167746:3255
4Maccabi Yavne30166844:3354
5FC Dimona30156943:2951
6Holon Yermiyahu301211742:2947
7Jerusalem FC30129947:4145
8Maccabi Ironi Ashdod3010101035:3140
9Agudat Sport Ashdod301081244:3538
10Shimshon Tel Aviv309111033:3438
11Hapoel Marmorek306121229:3830
12Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi306121222:3530
13Hapoel Azor30791428:4830
14Tzeirei Tira30781524:4429
15Hapoel Bnei Lod30851730:5829
16Maccabi Shaarayim30391824:4618
17Nes Tziona00000:00
18Shimshon Kafr Qasim00000:00
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