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Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Tzeirei Tira

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Agudat Sport Ashdod play Tzeirei Tira in the Liga Alef South 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Agudat Sport Ashdod averaged 1.56 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. Tzeirei Tira averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. In past meetings, Agudat Sport Ashdod won 1, Tzeirei Tira won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 30, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Agudat Sport Ashdod and 1.30 for Tzeirei Tira. This points to a Agudat Sport Ashdod double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Agudat Sport Ashdod
15%
Draws
41%
Tzeirei Tira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agudat Sport Ashdod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Agudat Sport Ashdod picked up more points recently compared to Tzeirei Tira.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Agudat Sport Ashdod Clean Sheet 19%
Tzeirei Tira Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agudat Sport Ashdod Tzeirei Tira
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.56 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.12

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2025 Liga Alef South
Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Tzeirei Tira
2:0
Sep 27, 2024 Liga Alef South
Tzeirei Tira vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agudat Sport Ashdod Compare

Top Goalscorer Asefa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elimelech O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tzeirei Tira Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agudat Sport Ashdod 43 / 100
Tzeirei Tira 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agudat Sport Ashdod Tzeirei Tira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Agudat Sport Ashdod or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Agudat Sport Ashdod attacking → ← attacking Tzeirei Tira

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agudat Sport Ashdod scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Tzeirei Tira let in goals in 60% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Agudat Sport Ashdod went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tzeirei Tira lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 42
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ironi Modiin30188445:1962
2Beitar Nordia Jerusalem30175850:3456
3H. Herzliya30167746:3255
4Maccabi Yavne30166844:3354
5FC Dimona30156943:2951
6Holon Yermiyahu301211742:2947
7Jerusalem FC30129947:4145
8Maccabi Ironi Ashdod3010101035:3140
9Agudat Sport Ashdod301081244:3538
10Shimshon Tel Aviv309111033:3438
11Hapoel Marmorek306121229:3830
12Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi306121222:3530
13Hapoel Azor30791428:4830
14Tzeirei Tira30781524:4429
15Hapoel Bnei Lod30851730:5829
16Maccabi Shaarayim30391824:4618
17Nes Tziona00000:00
18Shimshon Kafr Qasim00000:00