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Aguia De Maraba vs River-PI

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2024 Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira, Marabá
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2024 game between Aguia De Maraba and River-PI finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aguia De Maraba
15%
Draws
34%
River-PI
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguia De Maraba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • River-PI haven't matched Aguia De Maraba's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aguia De Maraba a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 68%
River-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia De Maraba River-PI
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2024 Serie D
Aguia De Maraba vs River-PI
0:0
Apr 27, 2024 Serie D
River-PI vs Aguia De Maraba
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia De Maraba 59 / 100
River-PI 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia De Maraba River-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguia De Maraba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia De Maraba found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: River-PI conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

River-PI lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguia De Maraba VS River-PI
1.88 Goals Scored 1.2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.6
100% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguia De Maraba

(Home)
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 7

River-PI

(Away)
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
12 Sept
River-PI
2 : 2
Flamengo PI
08 Sept
Caicara
1 : 3
River-PI
05 Sept
River-PI
0 : 3
Picos
01 Mar
Piaui
2 : 0
River-PI
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manauara 14 10 4 0 35:7 34
2 Porto Velho 14 9 1 4 29:15 28
3 Princesa do Solimoes 14 7 4 3 23:16 25
4 Manaus FC 14 7 3 4 21:18 24
5 Trem 14 5 3 6 18:22 18
6 Sao Raimundo RR 14 5 1 8 16:24 16
7 Rio Branco AC 14 3 3 8 14:25 12
8 SC Humaita 14 0 1 13 7:36 1
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maranhao 14 8 3 3 22:9 27
2 AE Altos 14 7 3 4 22:16 24
3 River-PI 14 5 4 5 20:16 19
4 Tocantinopolis 14 5 4 5 15:19 19
5 Cameta 14 4 4 6 17:17 16
6 Fluminense-PI 14 3 6 5 14:19 15
7 Moto Club 14 3 6 5 17:24 15
8 Aguia De Maraba 14 2 8 4 12:19 14
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treze PB 14 9 4 1 28:9 31
2 Iguatu 14 8 3 3 14:8 27
3 America RN 14 7 5 2 18:9 26
4 Atletico Cearense 14 5 3 6 14:16 18
5 Sousa 14 5 3 6 12:14 18
6 Santa Cruz de Natal 14 5 1 8 17:25 16
7 Maracana 14 3 3 8 13:21 12
8 Potiguar de Mossoró 14 1 4 9 7:21 7
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabaiana 14 8 2 4 21:11 26
2 Retro 14 8 2 4 21:12 26
3 Jacuipense 14 7 2 5 15:13 23
4 ASA 14 6 3 5 15:13 21
5 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 14 6 3 5 18:17 21
6 Juazeirense 14 6 3 5 13:13 21
7 Petrolina 14 2 4 8 6:19 10
8 Sergipe 14 2 3 9 11:22 9
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 14 10 2 2 27:10 32
2 Anapolis 14 7 4 3 18:10 25
3 Mixto 14 5 7 2 18:13 22
4 CRAC 14 5 7 2 13:8 22
5 Ipora 14 5 2 7 16:21 17
6 Uniao Rondonopolis 14 3 7 4 14:15 16
7 Real Brasilia 14 2 3 9 10:20 9
8 Capital FC 14 2 2 10 10:29 8
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Iguacu 14 9 4 1 19:5 31
2 Portuguesa RJ 14 6 7 1 18:6 25
3 Itabuna 14 6 6 2 16:9 24
4 Real Noroeste 14 5 5 4 16:15 20
5 Serra 14 5 4 5 16:18 19
6 Ipatinga 14 2 5 7 8:18 11
7 Democrata SL 14 2 4 8 8:21 10
8 Audax RJ 14 2 3 9 10:19 9
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maringa FC 14 10 2 2 25:10 32
2 Internacional de Limeira 14 7 3 4 16:7 24
3 Agua Santa 14 6 4 4 12:10 22
4 Costa Rica 14 6 3 5 16:17 21
5 Santo Andre 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
6 Pouso Alegre 14 3 5 6 11:9 14
7 Sao Jose EC 14 2 8 4 13:16 14
8 Patrocinense 14 1 2 11 6:32 5
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cianorte 14 6 4 4 14:12 22
2 Brasil de Pelotas 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
3 Avenida 14 5 4 5 14:19 19
4 Novo Hamburgo 14 4 6 4 14:15 18
5 Hercilio Luz 14 3 9 2 11:10 18
6 Concordia 14 4 5 5 13:12 17
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 14 3 7 4 15:12 16
8 FC Cascavel 14 3 6 5 8:12 15
Promotion - Serie D 2024 (Play Offs)