Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguia FC vs Cha Grande Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aguia FC in this Pernambucano 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Aguia FC
15%
Draws
12%
Cha Grande
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguia FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Aguia FC have won more games recently than Cha Grande.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Aguia FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Aguia FC Clean Sheet 20%
Cha Grande Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia FC Cha Grande
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Pernambucano 3
Aguia FC vs Cha Grande
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia FC 85 / 100
Cha Grande 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia FC Cha Grande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguia FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia FC found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (21 games).

Cha Grande's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Cha Grande has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguia FC VS Cha Grande
1.5 Goals Scored 1.14
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguia FC

(Home)
18 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 1
Aguia FC
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Aguia FC
1 : 0
Academica Vitoria
20 Sept
Aguia FC
1 : 2
Caruaru
Page 1 of 5

Cha Grande

(Away)
02 Nov
Cha Grande
0 : 3
Belo Jardim
27 Oct
America PE
4 : 0
Cha Grande
19 Oct
Cha Grande
1 : 1
Sete de Setembro (PE)
13 Oct
Caruaru
3 : 2
Cha Grande
09 Oct
Cha Grande
0 : 1
Pesqueira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America PE 7 6 1 0 18:4 19
2 Caruaru 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
3 Aguia FC 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Belo Jardim 7 3 3 1 11:7 12
5 Pesqueira 7 1 5 1 3:4 8
6 Cha Grande 7 1 1 5 8:14 4
7 1º de Maio 7 1 1 5 6:16 4
8 Sete de Setembro (PE) 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)