Sport Picks
Aguia Negra vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
Brazil
Sul-Matogrossense 
AI Match Summary
Aguia Negra play Clube de Regatas Aquidauana in the Sul-Matogrossense. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aguia Negra averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Clube de Regatas Aquidauana averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.05 conceded. In past meetings, Aguia Negra won 0, Clube de Regatas Aquidauana won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 11, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Aguia Negra and 1.56 for Clube de Regatas Aquidauana. This points to a Clube de Regatas Aquidauana double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aguia Negra picked up more points recently compared to Clube de Regatas Aquidauana.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.56 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aguia Negra | Clube de Regatas Aquidauana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 19 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aguia Negra scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana let in goals in 68% of their last 19 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Aguia Negra went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naviraiense | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Operario MS | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 3 | Corumbaense | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Ivinhema | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Bataguassu | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 6 | Dourados | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 10 |
| 7 | Clube de Regatas Aquidauana | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Pantanal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 9 | Costa Rica | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 10 | Aguia Negra | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | 7 |