Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Sul-Matogrossense 2025 game between Aguia Negra and Naviraiense finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguia Negra.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Naviraiense come out ahead of Aguia Negra on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aguia Negra | Naviraiense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aguia Negra Compare
Naviraiense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aguia Negra found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Naviraiense has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Aguia Negra stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Aguia Negra
(Home)Naviraiense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivinhema | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Pantanal | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Dourados | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Operario MS | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Costa Rica | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Aguia Negra | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 7 | Naviraiense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 8 | Corumbaense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 9 | Coxim | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 7 |
| 10 | Aquidauanense | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12:29 | 4 |
