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Aguilas Doradas vs Ind. Medellin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Cincuentenario, Medellín
Thu, Nov 12, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aguilas Doradas host Ind. Medellin in the Primera A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ind. Medellin have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Aguilas Doradas have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.32. Head-to-head, Aguilas Doradas have won 2 to Ind. Medellin's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.00) point toward Aguilas Doradas. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Aguilas Doradas
20%
Draws
22%
Ind. Medellin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aguilas Doradas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguilas Doradas haven't matched Ind. Medellin's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aguilas Doradas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 20%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguilas Doradas Ind. Medellin
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas
1:2
Oct 8, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Ind. Medellin
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Ind. Medellin
1:1
Mar 3, 2024 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguilas Doradas 85 / 100
Ind. Medellin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguilas Doradas Ind. Medellin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguilas Doradas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Medellin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Aguilas Doradas's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Aguilas Doradas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguilas Doradas VS Ind. Medellin
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguilas Doradas

(Home)
27 Oct
Cucuta
0 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
24 Oct
Junior
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
18 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 1
Deportes Tolima
13 Oct
Bucaramanga
1 : 1
Aguilas Doradas
09 Oct
Alianza
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
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Ind. Medellin

(Away)
01 Nov
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Alianza
29 Oct
Inter Bogotá
3 : 1
Ind. Medellin
25 Oct
Atl. Nacional
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
18 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 2
Once Caldas
15 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 2
Ind. Medellin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 16 11 2 3 32:13 35
2 America De Cali 16 10 4 2 31:12 34
3 Dep. Cali 17 9 6 2 26:10 33
4 Bucaramanga 16 7 7 2 25:16 28
5 Santa Fe 16 8 4 4 23:17 28
6 Millonarios 16 6 8 2 24:14 26
7 Ind. Medellin 17 8 2 7 25:25 26
8 Once Caldas 17 6 6 5 21:18 24
9 Aguilas Doradas 16 5 7 4 21:20 22
10 Cucuta 16 6 3 7 18:24 21
11 Deportes Tolima 16 5 5 6 18:19 20
12 Inter Bogotá 17 4 8 5 21:23 20
13 Llaneros 17 6 2 9 19:23 20
14 Alianza 17 5 3 9 17:29 18
15 Dep. Pereira 16 3 8 5 12:19 17
16 Junior 17 3 7 7 23:27 16
17 Chico 17 4 4 9 13:28 16
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 16 3 4 9 17:29 13
19 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 16 1 9 6 17:24 12
20 Dep. Pasto 16 3 3 10 11:24 12
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)