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Monagas vs Caracas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Monumental de Maturín, Maturín
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monagas host Caracas in the Liga FUTVE. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Caracas have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Monagas have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Monagas have won 3 to Caracas's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.63, favoring Monagas. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Monagas
15%
Draws
59%
Caracas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caracas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Caracas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Caracas's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Monagas Clean Sheet 14%
Caracas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monagas Caracas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Monagas
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Caracas
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Caracas
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Monagas
1:4
Sep 20, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Monagas
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monagas 27 / 100
Caracas 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monagas Caracas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caracas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monagas scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Caracas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Monagas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monagas VS Caracas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monagas

(Home)
27 Oct
Dep. Tachira
2 : 0
Monagas
24 Oct
Monagas
1 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
21 Oct
Dep. Tachira
2 : 1
Monagas
18 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello
3 : 3
Monagas
14 Oct
Monagas
2 : 1
Dynamo Puerto FC
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Caracas

(Away)
27 Oct
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 1
Caracas
24 Oct
Caracas
1 : 2
Dep. Tachira
21 Oct
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 2
Caracas
18 Oct
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 2
Caracas
14 Oct
Aragua
3 : 1
Caracas
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Metropolitanos 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
3 Deportivo La Guaira 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
4 Portuguesa 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Tachira 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Caracas 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Monagas 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)