Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AIK vs Orgryte

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strawberry Arena, Solna
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Christoffersson N.
Assist: Parker-Price O.
23' Event
Christoffersson N.
Assist: Hofvander W.
33'
Sub
Papagiannopoulos S. In: Olofsson W.
Out: Papagiannopoulos S.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between AIK and Orgryte finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orgryte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AIK
30%
Draws
31%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AIK come out ahead of Orgryte on wins alone.
  • Model gives AIK a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AIK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
AIK Clean Sheet 19%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AIK Orgryte
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs AIK
3:4
Aug 2, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Orgryte
0:3
Feb 19, 2022 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Orgryte
2:0
Mar 1, 2020 Svenska Cupen
Orgryte vs AIK
0:1
Mar 2, 2019 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Orgryte
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AIK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Orgryte Compare

Top Goalscorer Christoffersson N.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK 49 / 100
Orgryte 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AIK Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AIK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 9:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AIK scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Orgryte conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: AIK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AIK VS Orgryte
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK

(Home)
20 Sept
Halmstad
2 : 1
AIK
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
30 Aug
AIK
3 : 2
Hammarby
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Orgryte

(Away)
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2
Sirius
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
06 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 1
Hammarby
30 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Orgryte
25 Aug
Eskilsminne
1 : 3
Orgryte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)