Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AIK vs Orgryte

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strawberry Arena, Solna
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Christoffersson N.
Assist: Parker-Price O.
23' Event
Christoffersson N.
Assist: Hofvander W.
33'
Sub
Papagiannopoulos S. In: Olofsson W.
Out: Papagiannopoulos S.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between AIK and Orgryte finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orgryte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AIK
33%
Draws
27%
Orgryte
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AIK come out ahead of Orgryte on wins alone.
  • Model gives AIK a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AIK Clean Sheet 19%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AIK Orgryte
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Allsvenskan
AIK vs Orgryte
0:3
Feb 19, 2022 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Orgryte
2:0
Mar 1, 2020 Svenska Cupen
Orgryte vs AIK
0:1
Mar 2, 2019 Svenska Cupen
AIK vs Orgryte
1:0
Mar 10, 2013 Svenska Cupen
Orgryte vs AIK
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AIK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Orgryte Compare

Top Goalscorer Christoffersson N.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AIK 40 / 100
Orgryte 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AIK Orgryte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AIK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 9:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AIK's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Orgryte has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: AIK remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AIK VS Orgryte
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AIK

(Home)
02 Aug
AIK
0 : 3
Orgryte
27 Jul
Hacken
0 : 0
AIK
18 Jul
AIK
2 : 0
GAIS
11 Jul
Mjallby
1 : 2
AIK
05 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
AIK
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Orgryte

(Away)
02 Aug
AIK
0 : 3
Orgryte
24 Jul
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Orgryte
20 Jul
Orgryte
0 : 0
Djurgarden
11 Jul
Orgryte
4 : 3
Hacken
05 Jul
Kalmar
3 : 0
Orgryte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 14 12 2 0 40:17 38
2 Hammarby 15 8 3 4 33:15 27
3 Hacken 15 6 7 2 28:23 25
4 Djurgarden 13 7 2 4 27:15 23
5 Malmo FF 15 7 2 6 30:25 23
6 Vasteras SK 14 6 4 4 24:23 22
7 AIK 15 6 4 5 18:21 22
8 Elfsborg 15 5 6 4 20:18 21
9 GAIS 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Kalmar 15 5 3 7 19:21 18
11 Mjallby 14 4 5 5 20:19 17
12 Brommapojkarna 15 4 5 6 20:24 17
13 IFK Goteborg 15 4 4 7 19:33 16
14 Orgryte 15 3 4 8 17:33 13
15 Degerfors 15 2 4 9 12:26 10
16 Halmstad 14 1 4 9 11:29 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)