Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Airdrieonians vs Alloa

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Ross C.
31'
Sub
McKinnon C. In: McGrattan L.
Out: McKinnon C.
40'
McArthur C.

AI Match Summary

Alloa in this Championship 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Airdrieonians
30%
Draws
64%
Alloa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Alloa have won more games recently than Airdrieonians.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Alloa taking it.
  • Alloa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Alloa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 14%
Alloa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians Alloa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
1:2
May 5, 2026 Championship
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
1:0
Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
2:3
Jul 26, 2025 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
2:3
Apr 1, 2023 League One
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahon R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Foster O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adamson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 10 / 100
Alloa 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians Alloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alloa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Airdrieonians found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Alloa let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Airdrieonians has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS Alloa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Airdrieonians

(Home)
05 Sept
Queen of the South
2 : 1
Airdrieonians
29 Aug
Airdrieonians
0 : 0
East Fife
25 Aug
Airdrieonians
1 : 3
Stirling
22 Aug
Airdrieonians
1 : 3
Ross County
15 Aug
Hamilton
4 : 0
Airdrieonians
Page 1 of 7

Alloa

(Away)
05 Sept
Cove Rangers
1 : 1
Alloa
29 Aug
Alloa
1 : 1
Peterhead
25 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0
Motherwell B
22 Aug
Queen of the South
0 : 2
Alloa
15 Aug
Alloa
3 : 0
Montrose
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Airdrieonians 1
Alloa 3
Stenhousemuir 4
Queen of the South 3
Final
Alloa 2
Stenhousemuir 3