Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Airdrieonians vs Alloa

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 Albert Bartlett Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Ross C.
31'
Sub
McKinnon C. In: McGrattan L.
Out: McKinnon C.
40'
McArthur C.

AI Match Summary

Alloa in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alloa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Airdrieonians
28%
Draws
50%
Alloa
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Alloa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Alloa have won more games recently than Airdrieonians.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Alloa taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 13%
Alloa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians Alloa
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Championship
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
1:2
May 5, 2026 Championship
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
1:0
Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
2:3
Jul 26, 2025 League Cup
Airdrieonians vs Alloa
2:3
Apr 1, 2023 League One
Alloa vs Airdrieonians
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahon R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alloa Compare

Top Goalscorer Foster O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adamson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 22 / 100
Alloa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians Alloa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Airdrieonians scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Alloa has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Alloa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS Alloa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Airdrieonians1
Alloa3
Stenhousemuir4
Queen of the South3
Final
Alloa2
Stenhousemuir3