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Ajax vs Den Haag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ajax host Den Haag in the Eredivisie. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Ajax have averaged 2.26 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Den Haag's 2.04 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Ajax slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2021, ending 5:0. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 1.25) point toward Ajax. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Ajax
20%
Draws
24%
Den Haag
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Den Haag haven't matched Ajax's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ajax a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ajax have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ajax Clean Sheet 19%
Den Haag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax Den Haag
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 20 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.26 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 Eredivisie
Ajax vs Den Haag
5:0
Dec 20, 2020 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs Ajax
2:4
Dec 22, 2019 Eredivisie
Ajax vs Den Haag
6:1
Oct 6, 2019 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs Ajax
0:2
Feb 24, 2019 Eredivisie
Den Haag vs Ajax
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax 85 / 100
Den Haag 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax Den Haag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ajax scored in 94% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Den Haag has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Ajax went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax VS Den Haag
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax

(Home)
31 Oct
Ajax
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
25 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 2
Ajax
22 Oct
Ajax
2 : 0
Atalanta
18 Oct
Groningen
2 : 5
Ajax
15 Oct
Hajduk Split
2 : 1
Ajax
Page 1 of 7

Den Haag

(Away)
27 Oct
Excelsior 31
2 : 1
Den Haag
24 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 3
Heerenveen
17 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 1
PSV
11 Oct
Telstar
2 : 2
Den Haag
19 Sept
Den Haag
1 : 1
Cambuur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 33:12 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 30:13 24
3 PSV 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
4 Twente 10 6 2 2 19:10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 20:13 20
6 Sittard 11 5 4 2 18:18 19
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 19:13 18
8 Groningen 10 4 3 3 24:21 15
9 G.A. Eagles 10 3 5 2 23:23 14
10 Cambuur 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
11 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
12 Excelsior 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
13 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 17:19 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 3 5 17:24 9
15 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 11:23 8
16 Telstar 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
17 Den Haag 10 1 3 6 13:23 6
18 Willem II 11 0 2 9 10:39 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)