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Ajax W vs VV Alkmaar W Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Doorn L.
Assist: Spitse S.
46'
Sub
Sabajo Q. In: van Gool R.
Out: Sabajo Q.
59' Event
Leuchter R.
Assist: Weerden A.

AI Match Summary

Ajax W in this Eredivisie Women 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajax W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Ajax W
20%
Draws
11%
VV Alkmaar W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Ajax W have won more games recently than VV Alkmaar W.
  • Win probability leans Ajax W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ajax W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 20%
VV Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax W VV Alkmaar W
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 26 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 2.55 0.7
Goals Conceded 1 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs VV Alkmaar W
5:0
Oct 30, 2022 Eredivisie Women
VV Alkmaar W vs Ajax W
1:6
Mar 4, 2022 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs VV Alkmaar W
2:0
Dec 12, 2021 Eredivisie Women
VV Alkmaar W vs Ajax W
1:4
Oct 8, 2021 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs VV Alkmaar W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer Doorn L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leuchter R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

VV Alkmaar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax W 85 / 100
VV Alkmaar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax W VV Alkmaar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ajax W scored in 87% of their last 38 outings.

VV Alkmaar W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ajax W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax W VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax W

(Home)
04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4
Ajax W
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
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VV Alkmaar W

(Away)
18 Aug
Utrecht W
2 : 2
VV Alkmaar W
11 Aug
SBV Excelsior W
2 : 0
VV Alkmaar W
07 May
VV Alkmaar W
1 : 1
Sittard W
29 Apr
PSV W
4 : 0
VV Alkmaar W
31 Mar
VV Alkmaar W
0 : 1
PEC Zwolle W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ajax W 20 18 1 1 67:15 55
2 Twente W 20 18 0 2 81:6 54
3 Sittard W 20 11 3 6 49:27 36
4 PSV W 20 11 2 7 36:23 35
5 Den Haag W 20 10 2 8 42:21 32
6 PEC Zwolle W 20 7 5 8 26:37 26
7 Feyenoord W 20 6 6 8 18:24 24
8 Heerenveen W 20 7 1 12 24:56 22
9 VV Alkmaar W 20 3 3 14 11:55 12
10 Telstar W 20 3 3 14 18:65 12
11 SBV Excelsior W 20 2 2 16 14:57 8
Promotion - Champions League Women 2023/2024 (Qualification)