Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Akhisarspor vs Erbaaspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024 Spor Toto Akhisar Stadium, Akhisar
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Yildirim A.
26' Event
Uz B.
34' Event
Cavus E.

AI Match Summary

Erbaaspor in this 3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Erbaaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Akhisarspor
33%
Draws
40%
Erbaaspor
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Erbaaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Erbaaspor lately — more wins on the board than Akhisarspor.
  • Win probability leans Erbaaspor's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Erbaaspor have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Akhisarspor Clean Sheet 20%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akhisarspor Erbaaspor
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Akhisarspor vs Erbaaspor
2:6
Dec 10, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Erbaaspor vs Akhisarspor
6:0
Jan 29, 2023 3. Lig Group 3
Erbaaspor vs Akhisarspor
2:1
Sep 17, 2022 3. Lig Group 3
Akhisarspor vs Erbaaspor
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akhisarspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Uz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Erbaaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildirim A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cavus E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akhisarspor 28 / 100
Erbaaspor 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akhisarspor Erbaaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Erbaaspor has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Erbaaspor's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Akhisarspor scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erbaaspor
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Akhisarspor

(Home)
27 Apr
Darica Genclerbirligi
2 : 0
Akhisarspor
21 Apr
Akhisarspor
2 : 6
Erbaaspor
14 Apr
Tepecik
2 : 1
Akhisarspor
07 Apr
Akhisarspor
2 : 3
Bornova 1877
03 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
3 : 0
Akhisarspor
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Erbaaspor

(Away)
25 Apr
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi
3 : 1
Erbaaspor
19 Apr
Erbaaspor
1 : 1
Ankaragucu
12 Apr
Elazigspor
3 : 0
Erbaaspor
08 Apr
Erbaaspor
0 : 2
Adana 01
04 Apr
24Erzincanspor
3 : 2
Erbaaspor
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Karakopru28179251:2460
2Erbaaspor28169355:2157
3Silivrispor28149538:2251
4Bornova 187728155847:3350
5Kusadasispor28129736:2845
6Kutahyaspor281111640:2544
7Tepecik28109929:3039
8Agri 197028109936:3539
9Fatsa Bld.28910924:2737
10Osmaniyespor28851529:3429
111922 Konyaspor28771425:3028
12Bayburt Ozel Idare286101218:3828
13Darica Genclerbirligi28671518:3325
14Akhisarspor28541925:6719
15Sivas Dort28551822:4617
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)