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Akhmat Grozny vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Russia Russia

Premier League 2025/2026 Akhmat-Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Melkadze G.
44'
Sadulaev L.
46'
Sub
Lesovoy D. In: Sidorenko A.
Out: Lesovoy D.

AI Match Summary

Akhmat Grozny in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Akhmat Grozny.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Akhmat Grozny
30%
Draws
34%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Akhmat Grozny

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Akhmat Grozny lately — more wins on the board than Pari Nizhny Novgorod.
  • Win probability leans Akhmat Grozny's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 20%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akhmat Grozny Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0:2
Sep 19, 2024 Russian Cup
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Akhmat Grozny
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akhmat Grozny Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadulaev L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cacintura E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Pari Nizhny Novgorod Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akhmat Grozny 36 / 100
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akhmat Grozny Pari Nizhny Novgorod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akhmat Grozny found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Pari Nizhny Novgorod let in goals in 88% of their last 25 matches.

Akhmat Grozny went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Akhmat Grozny VS Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit St Petersburg30208253:1968
2Krasnodar30206460:2366
3Lokomotiv Moscow301411554:3953
4Spartak Moscow30157847:3952
5CSKA Moscow30156944:3351
6Baltika301113638:2146
7Dynamo Moscow30129951:4045
8Rubin Kazan301110929:3043
9Akhmat Grozny309101135:3937
10FK Rostov30891325:3233
11Krylya Sovetov Samara30881435:5032
12Orenburg30781529:4429
13Akron Togliatti30691535:5327
14Dynamo Makhachkala305111419:3726
15Pari Nizhny Novgorod30651926:5023
16PFC Sochi30642029:6022