Sport Picks
Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St Petersburg
Russia
Russian Cup 2025/2026 Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj 
Match Events
3'
3'
Adamov A.
Assist: Gondou L.
8'
8'
Gondou L.
Assist: Sobolev A.
46'
46'
Sub
Ibishev T. In: Ghandri N.
Out: Ibishev T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Zenit St Petersburg advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Zenit St Petersburg come out ahead of Akhmat Grozny on wins alone.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Zenit St Petersburg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Zenit St Petersburg, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Zenit St Petersburg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 14%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Akhmat Grozny | Zenit St Petersburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 20 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Akhmat Grozny
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Russian Cup
Zenit St Petersburg vs Akhmat Grozny
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St Petersburg
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Russian Cup
Akhmat Grozny vs Zenit St Petersburg
1:2
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Akhmat Grozny
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Akhmat Grozny Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Zenit St Petersburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Adamov A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gondou L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Akhmat Grozny 35 / 100
Zenit St Petersburg 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Akhmat Grozny Zenit St Petersburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ZEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Akhmat Grozny's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Akhmat Grozny has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Zenit St Petersburg conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Akhmat Grozny VS Zenit St Petersburg
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Akhmat Grozny
(Home) 26 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
16 Jul
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 0 Ajman
14 Jul
Radnik Bijeljina
0 : 3 Akhmat Grozny
11 Jul
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
04 Jul
Novi Pazar
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 0 Ajman
29 Jun
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 1 Borac Banja Luka
27 Jun
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 0 OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet
10 May
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 1 Dynamo Makhachkala
03 May
Akhmat Grozny
2 : 0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Page 1 of 4
Zenit St Petersburg
(Away) 25 Jul
Akron Togliatti
0 : 5 Zenit St Petersburg
18 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
13 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 1 Dynamo Makhachkala
12 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 1 Crvena zvezda
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Akron Togliatti
0 : 5 Zenit St Petersburg
17 May
FK Rostov
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
02 May
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
22 Apr
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 0 Zenit St Petersburg
19 Apr
Dynamo Makhachkala
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Orenburg | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 8 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:10 | 4 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 3 | FK Rostov | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Baltika | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 4 | Akron Togliatti | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:13 | 5 |
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup 2025/2026 (Regions Path - Play Offs)
