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Akragas vs Locri 1909

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Zucco E.
26' Event
Di Stefano G.
56' Event
Simonetta D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 game between Akragas and Locri 1909 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Akragas
30%
Draws
47%
Locri 1909
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Locri 1909

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Locri 1909 come out ahead of Akragas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Akragas's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Akragas Clean Sheet 20%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akragas Locri 1909
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 2 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.57 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Locri 1909
2:2
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Akragas
2:0
Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Locri 1909
3:1
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Akragas
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akragas Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Stefano G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rechichi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Locri 1909 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zucco E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simonetta D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akragas 40 / 100
Locri 1909 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akragas Locri 1909

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akragas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Locri 1909 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Locri 1909's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Akragas scored in 39% of their last 23 games.

Scoring Trends

Akragas VS Locri 1909
0 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Akragas

(Home)
09 Mar
Reggina
2 : 0
Akragas
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0
AS Acireale
23 Feb
USD Ragusa
3 : 0
Akragas
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2
S. Agata
09 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 1
Akragas
Page 1 of 5

Locri 1909

(Away)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)