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Akritas Chloraka vs Ermis Prediction & H2H Stats

Cyprus Cyprus

Division 2 2023/2024 Stelios Kyriakides Stadium, Pafos
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Alekseev I.
37' Event
Soussi A.
49' Event
Olivier Moreira A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2023/2024 game between Akritas Chloraka and Ermis finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akritas Chloraka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Akritas Chloraka
15%
Draws
59%
Ermis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ermis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Akritas Chloraka come out ahead of Ermis on wins alone.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Akritas Chloraka Clean Sheet 15%
Ermis Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akritas Chloraka Ermis
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.16 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Division 2
Ermis vs Akritas Chloraka
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 Division 2
Akritas Chloraka vs Ermis
3:0
Feb 10, 2024 Division 2
Ermis vs Akritas Chloraka
0:2
Oct 21, 2023 Division 2
Ermis vs Akritas Chloraka
1:1
Feb 6, 2022 Division 2
Ermis vs Akritas Chloraka
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akritas Chloraka Compare

Top Goalscorer Alekseev I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soussi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ermis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akritas Chloraka 35 / 100
Ermis 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akritas Chloraka Ermis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Akritas Chloraka found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Akritas Chloraka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akritas Chloraka VS Ermis
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Akritas Chloraka

(Home)
19 Sept
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 1
ASIL Lysi
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
14 Aug
Paralimni
2 : 3
Akritas Chloraka
15 May
Akritas Chloraka
1 : 2
AEL Limassol
09 May
Omonia Aradippou
2 : 1
Akritas Chloraka
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Ermis

(Away)
03 Oct
Ermis
0 : 3
Nea Salamis
20 Sept
Ermis
1 : 2
PAEEK
11 Sept
Ermis
2 : 0
Akritas Chloraka
26 Apr
Ermis
2 : 1
PO Xylotymbou 2006
20 Apr
ENAD
1 : 2
Ermis
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