Sport Picks
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
Russia
Premier League 2025/2026 Samara Arena, Samara 
Match Events
21'
21'
Shchetinin K.
39'
39'
Mohebi M.
Assist: Shchetinin K.
42'
42'
Sako O.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
FK Rostov in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Rostov.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Akron Togliatti lately — more wins on the board than FK Rostov.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Akron Togliatti Clean Sheet 21%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Akron Togliatti | FK Rostov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti
0:1
Mar 31, 2025 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
2:3
Feb 18, 2025 Club Friendly
FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Akron Togliatti Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
FK Rostov Compare
Top Goalscorer Shchetinin K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mohebi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Akron Togliatti 37 / 100
FK Rostov 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Akron Togliatti FK Rostov
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ROS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Akron Togliatti scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
FK Rostov let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Akron Togliatti has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Akron Togliatti VS FK Rostov
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Akron Togliatti
(Home) 25 Jul
Akron Togliatti
0 : 5 Zenit St Petersburg
18 Jul
Akron Togliatti
2 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
18 Jul
Akron Togliatti
0 : 1 Dynamo Moscow
11 Jul
Akron Togliatti
1 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
11 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
3 : 0 Akron Togliatti
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Akron Togliatti
0 : 5 Zenit St Petersburg
18 Jul
Akron Togliatti
2 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
18 Jul
Akron Togliatti
0 : 1 Dynamo Moscow
11 Jul
Akron Togliatti
1 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
26 Jun
Akron Togliatti
0 : 1 Baltika
Page 1 of 4
FK Rostov
(Away) 26 Jul
Orenburg
2 : 1 FK Rostov
15 Jul
FK Rostov
2 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
11 Jul
Krasnodar
3 : 3 FK Rostov
07 Jul
Fakel Voronezh
3 : 1 FK Rostov
03 Jul
FK Rostov
0 : 0 Dynamo Stavropol
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Orenburg
2 : 1 FK Rostov
11 Jul
Krasnodar
3 : 3 FK Rostov
07 Jul
Fakel Voronezh
3 : 1 FK Rostov
11 May
Akron Togliatti
1 : 3 FK Rostov
02 May
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 2 FK Rostov
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 53:19 | 68 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 60:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 54:39 | 53 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:39 | 52 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44:33 | 51 |
| 6 | Baltika | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 38:21 | 46 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 51:40 | 45 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:30 | 43 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:39 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:32 | 33 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | 32 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 19:37 | 26 |
| 15 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 26:50 | 23 |
| 16 | PFC Sochi | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 29:60 | 22 |
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL (Main)
