Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahed vs Al Ansar

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut
Al Ahed Logo

Al Ahed

1 - 1
FT
Al Ansar Logo

Al Ansar

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Antar F.
82' Event
Malick Tall E.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Al Ahed
35%
Draws
55%
Al Ansar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ansar have won more games recently than Al Ahed.
  • Win probability leans Al Ansar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahed Al Ansar
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 22
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.45 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Al Ansar
1:1
Jul 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
3:3
Jun 20, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
3:1
May 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Al Ansar
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ahed Compare

Top Goalscorer Antar F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Ansar Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahed 10 / 100
Al Ansar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahed Al Ansar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ansar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Al Ahed's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Al Ansar let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Al Ahed went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahed VS Al Ansar
1.63 Goals Scored 3.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahed

(Home)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
Page 1 of 7

Al Ansar

(Away)
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 27 20 5 2 64:16 39
2 Nejmeh SC 27 17 6 4 50:15 34
3 Jwayya SC 27 12 7 8 37:22 24
4 Al Ahed 27 13 4 10 41:34 23
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)