Sport Picks
Al Ahli SC vs Al-Duhail
Asia
AFC Champions League 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah 
Match Events
22'
22'
Abdulrahman M.
51'
51'
Piatek K.
55'
55'
Millot E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Al Ahli SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al-Duhail
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Ahli SC carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Al Ahli SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al Ahli SC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Duhail Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Ahli SC | Al-Duhail |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Al-Duhail
1:0
Mar 9, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al-Duhail vs Al Ahli SC
0:0
Sep 29, 2025 AFC Champions League
Al-Duhail vs Al Ahli SC
2:2
Apr 30, 2021 AFC Champions League
Al-Duhail vs Al Ahli SC
1:1
Apr 18, 2021 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Al-Duhail
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Ahli SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Mahrez R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al-Duhail Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Ahli SC 32 / 100
Al-Duhail 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Ahli SC Al-Duhail
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Ahli SC found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).
Al-Duhail has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Al Ahli SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Ahli SC VS Al-Duhail
1.38 Goals Scored 1.17
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Ahli SC
(Home) 19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1 Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2 Al Ahli SC
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0 Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1 Al Hazem Rass
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0 Al Riyadh
26 Aug
Al Ahli SC
1 : 0 Auckland FC
22 Aug
Al Ahli SC
4 : 0 Abha
Page 1 of 3
Al-Duhail
(Away) 21 Sept
Al-Duhail
2 : 0 Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al-Duhail
1 : 1 Al-Shahaniya
05 Sept
Al Rayyan
1 : 1 Al-Duhail
29 Aug
Al-Duhail
1 : 1 Al Arabi (Qatar)
22 Aug
Al-Duhail
2 : 0 Al Sailiya
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Al Rayyan
1 : 1 Al-Duhail
27 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 2 Al-Duhail
13 Apr
Al Ahli SC
1 : 0 Al-Duhail
08 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 1 Al-Duhail
17 Mar
Shamal
1 : 3 Al-Duhail
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Al Hilal 3
Al-Sadd 4
Vissel Kobe 3
Seoul 1
Al Ahli SC 1
Al-Duhail 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Johor DT 3
Machida Zelvia 1
Gangwon 0
Al Ittihad 1
Al Wahda 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Melbourne City 1
Tractor 0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 3
Quarter-finals
Al-Sadd 3
Vissel Kobe 4
Al Ahli SC 2
Johor DT 1
Machida Zelvia 1
Al Ittihad 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 3
Semi-finals
Vissel Kobe 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Machida Zelvia 1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 0
Final
Al Ahli SC 1
Machida Zelvia 0
