Sport Picks

Sudan

Premier League 2022/2023

Al-Ahly Merowe

1 - 1

Alfalah Atbra

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Al-Ahly Merowe

Draws

Alfalah Atbra

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Ahly Merowe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Alfalah Atbra have won more games recently than Al-Ahly Merowe.
Win probability leans Al-Ahly Merowe's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Premier League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 7%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%

Al-Ahly Merowe Clean Sheet 20%

Alfalah Atbra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al-Ahly Merowe	Alfalah Atbra
Matches Played	27	27
Wins	4	5
Draws	13	9
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	0.57	0.38
Goals Conceded	0.86	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.57	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.86	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Premier League

Alfalah Atbra vs Al-Ahly Merowe

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Jan 22, 2026 Premier League

Al-Ahly Merowe vs Alfalah Atbra

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Apr 9, 2023 Premier League

Al-Ahly Merowe vs Alfalah Atbra

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 4 - 0

1:1

Nov 28, 2022 Premier League

Alfalah Atbra vs Al-Ahly Merowe

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

4:0

Mar 10, 2020 Premier League

Alfalah Atbra vs Al-Ahly Merowe

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ahly Merowe 85 / 100

Alfalah Atbra 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al-Ahly Merowe Alfalah Atbra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfalah Atbra lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al-Ahly Merowe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Al-Ahly Merowe scored in 44% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Ahly Merowe VS Alfalah Atbra

0.57 Goals Scored 0.38

0.86 Goals Conceded 0.38

43% Over 1.5 13%

14% Over 2.5 13%

14% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Omdurman	20	17	2	1	55:12	53
2	Al-Merreikh	19	15	3	1	33:8	48
3	Hay al-Arab	26	14	6	6	39:26	48
4	Haidob Al Nuhod	28	13	6	9	32:26	45
5	Ahli Khartoum	28	10	9	9	35:29	39
6	Hilal El-Fasher	29	10	8	11	31:31	38
7	Hay Al Wadi	24	10	8	6	29:27	38
8	Alamal SC Atbara	26	10	5	11	24:28	35
9	Al Shorta	27	10	5	12	28:34	35
10	Kober	29	9	8	12	32:37	35
11	Hilal Alsahil	26	8	10	8	25:28	34
12	Wad Nobawi	27	6	14	7	20:24	32
13	Alfalah Atbra	25	6	11	8	21:19	29
14	Ahli Shendi	26	7	7	12	14:26	28
15	Tuti	27	7	6	14	26:38	27
16	Al-Ahly Merowe	27	4	13	10	19:36	25
17	Al Zoma	28	4	10	14	22:40	22
18	Rabita Kosti	26	5	7	14	16:32	22