Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ahly Tripoli vs Abu Salim

Libya Libya

Premier League 2025/2026 Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli
Al Ahly Tripoli Logo

Al Ahly Tripoli

7 - 1
FT
Abu Salim Logo

Abu Salim

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Ahly Tripoli in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahly Tripoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Al Ahly Tripoli
20%
Draws
19%
Abu Salim
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahly Tripoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahly Tripoli lately — more wins on the board than Abu Salim.
  • Model gives Al Ahly Tripoli a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 20%
Abu Salim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ahly Tripoli Abu Salim
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 2 17
Goals Scored 2.1 1
Goals Conceded 0.43 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.18 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Abu Salim
7:1
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League
Abu Salim vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:1
May 30, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Abu Salim
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Premier League
Abu Salim vs Al Ahly Tripoli
1:0
Jul 9, 2023 Premier League
Abu Salim vs Al Ahly Tripoli
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ahly Tripoli 85 / 100
Abu Salim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ahly Tripoli Abu Salim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahly Tripoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahly Tripoli scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Abu Salim conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Ahly Tripoli stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ahly Tripoli VS Abu Salim
2.5 Goals Scored 0.71
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ahly Tripoli

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0
KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1
Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
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Abu Salim

(Away)
23 Apr
Abu Salim
0 : 0
Al-Khmes
18 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 2
Al Dahra
13 Apr
Al Ahly Tripoli
7 : 1
Abu Salim
09 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 0
Al Watan
16 Mar
Assabah
1 : 0
Abu Salim
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)