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Al Ansar vs Al Ahed

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League Beirut Municipal Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Haidar M.
Assist: Nasser M.
55' Event
El Saleh M.
Assist: Malick Tall E.
57' Event
Zbib M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ansar and Al Ahed finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Ansar
6%
Draws
4%
Al Ahed
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ansar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Ansar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ansar Al Ahed
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
3:3
Jun 20, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
3:1
May 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Al Ansar
1:5
Jun 27, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Ahed
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer El Saleh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Al Ahed Compare

Top Goalscorer Haidar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zbib M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ansar 95 / 100
Al Ahed 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ansar Al Ahed

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ansar found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Al Ansar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Ahed's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ansar VS Al Ahed
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21015:33
2Al Ahed21013:33
3Safa21013:53
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nejmeh SC21103:24
2Jwayya SC21102:14
3Al Hikma20021:30