Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Arabi (Kuwait) vs Yarmouk

Kuwait Kuwait

Crown Prince Cup Sabah Al Salem Stadium, Kuwait
Al Arabi (Kuwait) Logo

Al Arabi (Kuwait)

2 - 1
FT
Yarmouk Logo

Yarmouk

Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Iwuala A.
54' Event
Qunbar Z.
(Penalty)
76' Event
Haj H. H.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
35%
Draws
52%
Yarmouk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Yarmouk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Arabi (Kuwait) lately — more wins on the board than Yarmouk.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Yarmouk taking it.
  • Al Arabi (Kuwait) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Arabi (Kuwait), who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Arabi (Kuwait) here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Al Arabi (Kuwait) Clean Sheet 19%
Yarmouk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Arabi (Kuwait) Yarmouk
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2026 Crown Prince Cup
Al Arabi (Kuwait) vs Yarmouk
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 Premier League
Yarmouk vs Al Arabi (Kuwait)
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Al Arabi (Kuwait) vs Yarmouk
2:0
Jan 22, 2023 Emir Cup
Al Arabi (Kuwait) vs Yarmouk
6:1
Apr 19, 2022 Premier League
Al Arabi (Kuwait) vs Yarmouk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Arabi (Kuwait) Compare

Top Goalscorer Iwuala A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Yarmouk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Arabi (Kuwait) 20 / 100
Yarmouk 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Arabi (Kuwait) Yarmouk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yarmouk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Arabi (Kuwait) scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Yarmouk has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Al Arabi (Kuwait) remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Arabi (Kuwait) VS Yarmouk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Arabi (Kuwait)

(Home)
04 Sept
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
3 : 3
Al Sulaibikhat
30 Aug
Al Jahra
2 : 1
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
25 Aug
Al Kuwait
3 : 3
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
12 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
Page 1 of 7

Yarmouk

(Away)
20 Aug
Al Sahel
2 : 3
Yarmouk
17 Aug
Al-Jazira
2 : 0
Yarmouk
14 Aug
Yarmouk
1 : 1
Al Sulaibikhat
11 Aug
Yarmouk
3 : 1
Burgan
07 Aug
Yarmouk
0 : 0
Khaitan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 2
Yarmouk 1
Al Shabab 0
Al Qadisiya 2
Al-Fahaheel 1
Al-Jazira 0
Al Sulaibikhat 3
Kazma SC 2
Al Kuwait 3
Khaitan 0
Burgan 2
Al Jahra 0
Al Salmiya 1
Al Tadamon 2
Al Naser 1
Al Sahel 0
Quarter-finals
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 2
Al Qadisiya 0
Al-Fahaheel 3
Al Sulaibikhat 0
Al Kuwait 3
Burgan 0
Al Tadamon 0
Al Naser 4
Semi-finals
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 2
Al-Fahaheel 0
Al Kuwait 3
Al Naser 2
Final
Al Arabi (Kuwait) 3
Al Kuwait 0